Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings NHL Pick – April 1

The NHL is set up with another great slate of action as we enter the final month of the regular season. Seven games are up on the board throughout Friday night. One of these games will be between the Ottawa Senators and the Detroit Red Wings. These two teams have been struggled on the season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:30 PM Eastern time.

Ottawa has earned a record of 23-37-6 throughout this season, which has them sitting in seventh place of the Atlantic division. The Senators have lost two games in a row and seven of their last nine. Ottawa has fallen out of the playoff picture with early struggles, but will look for a big win in this one. The Senators will look for a big win on the road in this one.

The Red Wings have put up a record of 26-32-9 so far this season, which has them in fifth place of the Atlantic division. Detroit has lost four games in a row and eleven of their last thirteen. The Red Wings have struggled heavily in the second half of the season. Detroit will look to finish strong though starting with a big win at home.

These two teams have fallen out of the playoff picture this season, but will look to grab a win in this one. The Senators have struggled as of late, but Detroit has been struggling even worse. The Red Wings will look to bounce back at home in this one. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Ottawa Senators +1 ½ (-210) +100 Over 6 (-120)
Detroit Red Wings -1 ½ (+175) -120 Under 6 (+100)

 

Team Data Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Overall Record 23-37-6 26-32-9
Away/ Home Record 11-18-3 17-12-6
Goals Per Game 2.58 2.84
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.63 3.29
Save Percentage .902 .886
Save Percentage Away/ Home .896 .892

Betting Trends

Ottawa Senators

  • 2-1 on Friday nights
  • 1-6 when playing on two days rest
  • 5-13 against divisional opponents
  • 8-19 after non-Conference games
  • 8-18 after allowing four goals or more
  • 11-17 after losing by two or more goals
  • 10-11 after scoring one goal or less
  • 10-15 against team with a losing record

Detroit Red Wings

  • 1-5 on Friday nights
  • 6-12 against divisional opponents
  • 13-14 after allowing four or more goals
  • 13-11 after scoring four goals or more
  • 5-6 after three or more straight losses
  • 14-12 against team with a losing record

These two teams last met up in the 2019-20 season. They met up four times throughout the season with Ottawa earning a record of 3-0-1 in those four games. The Senators outscored Detroit 15-11 throughout those four games as well. Ottawa will look to maintain that success in this season series as they meet up three more times this season.

Special Teams

The Senators have been solid on the penalty kill this season. Ottawa has scored on 36 of their 195 power play chances, which is an 18.5 percent power play. The Senators have killed off 155 of their opponents 196 power play attempts, which is an 80.1 percent kill rate. Ottawa is 25th on the power play and 14th on the kill this season.

Detroit has struggled a bit on special teams throughout the season. The Red Wings have capitalized on 34 of their 187 power play opportunities, which is an 18.2 percent success rate. Detroit has given up 51 power play goals on 183 penalties against, which is a 72.1 percent penalty kill. The Red Wings are 27th on the man advantage and 32nd on the penalty kill.

Ottawa has been better on the power play and penalty kill this season. The Senators have put up a solid penalty kill on the season, while Detroit has had the worst penalty kill in the season. Both power play’s have been similar throughout this season. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Anton Forsberg to get the nod in the crease for Ottawa in this one. Forsberg has started in 33 games this season, going 15-14-3 in those matchups. He has posted a .919 save percentage and a GAA of 2.74 in those games. Forsberg finished with 28 saves on 31 shots in his last start against the Nashville Predators, which was not enough for the win.

Alex Nedeljkovic will likely get the start between the pipes for the Red Wings on Friday night. Nedeljkovic has earned a record of 17-20-8 in his 44 starts. He has put up a save percentage of .900 and a 3.30 GAA in his outings. Nedeljkovic’s last start was against the New York Rangers. He stopped 29 of 34 shots in the overtime loss.

These two goalies have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Forsberg has been better on the season, but has lost three of his last five starts. Nedeljkovic has lost his last four starts and will look to bounce back late in the season. If either goalie can come out hot, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have struggled on the season, but will look for a big win in this one. The Senators have been a bit better as of late, but I think Detroit will come out fast at home. The Red Wings are better than they have been playing and I think they will get back in the win column. If Detroit can start fast, I like their chances to knock off Ottawa.

Bovada has the Red Wings listed as a -120 against the money line in this one. This implies that Detroit will win this game around 54.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with the Red Wings at home and coming off four straight losses. Detroit has been the better overall team on the season. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Red Wings.

The Bet
Detroit Red Wings
-120
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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