Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues NHL Pick – December 17

The NHL is set up with another great slate of games throughout December 17. Six games are up on the board throughout Friday night. One of these matchups will be between the Dallas Stars and the St. Louis Blues. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN+.

Dallas has earned a record of 13-11-2 to start out this season, which has them sitting in sixth place of the Central division. The Stars have lost four games in a row and will look to turn it around with a win on Friday. Dallas has been up and down throughout this season and will look to break through. I expect the Stars to come out fast on the road in this one.

The Blues have put up a record of 16-8-5 to open up the season, which has them in second place of the Central division. St. Louis is two points behind the Minnesota Wild for the top spot in the division. The Blues are coming off a win and have won four of their last five. St. Louis will look to earn a big win at home on Friday night.

These two teams have been solid to open up this season and will look for another big win on Friday. The Stars have struggled a bit as of late, while St. Louis has picked up their play in their last stretch of games. Dallas will look to bounce back after their last loss to the Blues. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Dallas Stars +1 ½ (-255) -108 Over 5 ½ (-110)
St. Louis Blues -1 ½ (+215) -102 Under 5 ½ (+100)

 

Team Data Dallas Stars St. Louis Blues
Overall Record 13-11-2 16-8-5
Away/ Home Record 4-8-1 10-3-2
Goals Per Game 2.65 3.38
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.15 3.80
Save Percentage .909 .916
Save Percentage Away/ Home .893 .922

Betting Trends

Dallas Stars

  • 2-4 in December
  • 2-1 on Friday nights
  • 6-4 when playing on two days rest
  • 4-4 against division opponents
  • 6-1 after divisional game
  • 3-5 after allowing four goals or more
  • 2-5 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 8-5 against team with winning record

St. Louis Blues

  • 4-3 in December
  • 0-1 on Friday nights
  • 3-2 when playing on two days rest
  • 5-5 against division opponents
  • 6-3 after divisional game
  • 6-5 after a win by two goals or more
  • 6-6 after scoring four goals or more

These two teams have met up twice throughout the season. The first meeting was in Dallas on November 20. Roope Hintz had two goals, while Jamie Benn had a goal and an assist. The Stars earned a 4-1 win. The second meeting stayed in Dallas on December 14. Vladimir Tarasenko had a goal and two assists to help St. Louis earn a 4-1 win of their own.

Special Teams

The Stars have been really strong on special teams throughout the season. Dallas has scored on 19 of their 71 power play chances, which is a 26.8 percent power play. The Stars have killed off 65 of their opponents 80 power play attempts, which is an 81.3 percent kill rate. Dallas is 4th on the man advantage and 11th on the penalty kill.

St. Louis has been strong on special teams as well this season. The Blues have capitalized on 25 of their 83 power paly opportunities, which is a 30.1 percent success rate St. Louis has given up 13 power play goals on 76 penalties against, which is an 82.9 percent penalty kill. The Blues are 3rd on the power play and 7th on the kill this season.

These two teams have been strong on special teams throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Blues have the edge on special teams entering this one though. Dallas will look to step up after giving up two power play goals in their last meeting. If either team can get a power play goal or two, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Braden Holtby to get the start for Dallas in this one. Holtby has earned a record of 5-6-1 throughout his 13 starts on the season. He has posted a .923 save percentage and a GAA of 2.39 in those matchups. Holtby’s last start was against the San Jose Sharks. He finished with 23 saves on 25 shots in the losing effort.

Charlie Lindgren will likely get the nod in net for the Blues on Friday night. Lindgren has played in four games this season, going 4-0-0 in those matchups. He has put up a save percentage of .956 and a 1.29 GAA in those starts. Lindgren finished with 33 saves on 34 shots in his last start against the Stars, which was enough for the win.

These two teams have been solid early in the season and will look for a big win in this one. Lindgren has yet to lose throughout this season and will look to shut down Dallas again in this one. Holtby will look to bounce back after losing his last two starts. If either goalie can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams will look to earn a big win on Friday night. The Stars are coming off a loss against St. Louis in their last outing and will look to bounce back in this one. Lindgren has been the better goalie, but I think he is due for a loss. If Dallas can grab an early lead in this one, it could be enough for the win on the road.

BetOnline has Dallas listed as a -108 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Stars will win this game around 51.9 percent of the time. I think that this line makes sense with St. Louis at home and the Stars struggling. I believe that the Stars are due to break out of this losing streak. As slight favorites in this one, I really like the value on Dallas.

The Bet
Dallas Stars
-108
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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