Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames NHL Pick – Game 2

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey on May 5. Four games are up on the board throughout Thursday night. One of these games will be between the Dallas Stars and the Calgary Flames. These two teams will look for a big win as they meet in Game 2 of their series. This game will drop the puck at around 10:00 PM Eastern time on TBS.

Dallas earned a record of 46-30-6 throughout this season, which had them sitting in the top wild card spot in the Western Conference. The Stars struggled a bit to finish the regular season and dropped the first game of this series. Dallas will look to bounce back early on the road in this one. I expect the Stars to push offense early in Game 2.

The Flames finished the regular season with a record of 50-21-11, which had them in the top spot of the Pacific division. Calgary was able to come out strong in Game 1 and was able to take the early series lead. The Flames will look to carry that momentum into Game 2 at home. Calgary will look to take a big 2-0 series lead before going on the road.

These two teams were solid throughout the regular season and will look for a big win in Game 2. The Stars could not find the back of the net in Game 1, but slowed down Calgary’s offense throughout. Dallas will look to score early in this one and keep the Flames quiet. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Dallas Stars +1 ½ (-130) +190 Over 5 ½ (-115)
Calgary Flames -1 ½ (+110) -230 Under 5 ½ (-105)

 

Team Data Dallas Stars Calgary Flames
Playoff Record 0-1 1-0
Playoff Away/ Home Record 0-1 1-0
Playoff GF/GP 0.00 1.00
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 0.00 1.00
Playoff SV% .962 1.000
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .962 1.000

Betting Trends

Dallas Stars

  • 31-23 in second half of the season
  • 16-12 revenging loss to an opponent
  • 10-11 after scoring one goal or less
  • 21-21 against team with a winning record

Calgary Flames

  • 35-19 in second half of the season
  • 6-5 after shutting out their opponent
  • 10-4 after scoring one goal or less
  • 23-19 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up in Game 1 in Calgary on May 3. Jake Oettinger stopped 25 of the 26 shots against him, but it was not enough for the win. Elias Lindholm scored a power play goal from Matthew Tkachuk and Johnny Gaudreau five minutes into this game, which was enough. Jacob Markstrom earned a 16 shot shutout as the Flames won 1-0.

Special Teams

The Stars were solid on the power play during this season. Dallas scored on 53 of their 239 power play opportunities, which was a 22.2 percent success rate. The Stars gave up 46 power play goals on 218 penalties against, which was a 78.9 percent penalty kill. Dallas finished 11th on the power play and 19th on the kill this season.

Calgary was strong on both sides of special teams during the regular season. The Flames capitalized on 54 of their 234 power play chances, which was a 23.1 percent power play. Calgary killed off 204 of their opponents 246 power play attempts, which was an 82.9 percent kill rate. The Flames were 10th on the man advantage and 6th on the penalty kill.

Both teams were solid on the power play throughout the regular season, but Calgary had the better penalty kill. The Flames went 1-5 on their power play chances in Game 1 of this series. Dallas went 0-5 on their power play attempts though. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could give them the edge.

Goaltending Comparison

Jake Oettinger will get the start in the net for Dallas on Thursday night. Oettinger put up a record of 30-15-1 throughout his 46 regular season starts. He posted a .914 save percentage and a GAA of 2.53 in those games. Oettinger finished with 25 saves on 26 shots in Game 1 of this series, which was not enough for the win.

Jacob Markstrom will get the nod between the pipes for the Flames in Game 2. Markstrom started in 63 games this season, going 37-15-9 in those matchups. He put up a save percentage of .922 and a 2.22 GAA in his starts. Markstrom earned a 16 shot shutout in Game 1, which was enough to give Calgary the early series lead.

These two goalies were strong to start out this series and will look to keep it going. The Stars will look to test Markstrom early in Game 2 as they only managed 16 shots in Game 1. Calgary will look to breakthrough on Oettinger more as well. If either goalie can continue to come out hot in this one, it could be enough to lead their team to the win.

Pick Overview

The Stars struggled to get their offense going early in this series, but I think they will come out faster in Game 2. Calgary only scored once in the first game and will look to improve on offense as well. Dallas has been strong on defense all season though and will look to keep the Flames quiet. If the Stars can get the early lead, I think they can pull off the upset.

Bovada has Calgary listed as a -230 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Flames will win this game around 69.7 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer even with how close Game 1 of this series was. Dallas will look to step up on offense early in this one. As big underdogs in this one, I like the value on the Stars.

The Bet
Dallas Stars
+190
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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