Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames NHL Pick – Game 7

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of Game 7 action on Sunday. Two games are up on the board on May 15. One of these games will be between the Dallas Stars and the Calgary Flames. These two teams have been solid throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 9:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN2.

Dallas earned a record of 46-30-6 throughout the regular season, which had them in fourth place of the Central division. The Stars are coming off a big win at home in Game 6 to force this Game 7. Dallas will look to ride their momentum into this one. The Stars will look to come out quickly on the road on Sunday night as they look for a huge win.

The Flames put up a record of 50-21-11 throughout the regular season, which had them earn the top spot of the Pacific division. Calgary lost their last time out and will look to bounce back. The Flames will look to step up on offense in this game. I expect Calgary to step up early in this one as they look to book a spot in the second round.

These two teams have been solid throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. This series has been low scoring and tight on defense. Both teams will look to grab the early lead in this one as they try to protect it with strong defense. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win on Sunday night.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Dallas Stars +1 ½ (-160) +165 Over 5 ½ (+115)
Calgary Flames -1 ½ (+135) -195 Under 5 ½ (-135)

 

Team Data Dallas Stars Calgary Flames
Playoff Record 3-3 3-3
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-1 2-1
Playoff GF/GP 2.00 2.00
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 1.00 1.33
Playoff SV% .945 .928
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .954 .950

Betting Trends

Dallas Stars

  • 5-6 on Sunday’s
  • 1-1 when tied in series
  • 12-8 after a win by two goals or more
  • 16-15 after scoring four or more goals
  • 24-23 against team with a winning record

Calgary Flames

  • 3-2 on Sunday’s
  • 1-1 when tied in series
  • 14-9 after allowing four or more goals
  • 11-8 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 25-22 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met in a tight six game series so far. The first two games were in Calgary, with the Flames winning 1-0 and Dallas grabbing a 2-0 win. The next two games were in Dallas and were split as well. Mikael Backlund and Andrew Mangiapane both had a goal and an assist as Calgary won Game 5 3-1. Roope Hintz and Michael Raffl both had a goal and an assist in Game 6 as the Stars won 4-2.

Special Teams

The Stars were solid on the power play throughout the regular season. Dallas scored on 54 of their 241 power play chances, which was a 22.4 percent success rate. The Stars killed off 173 of their opponents 219 power play attempts, which was a 79 percent penalty kill. Dallas was 11th on the power play and 19th on the kill this season.

Calgary was strong on both sides of special teams in the regular season. The Flames capitalized on 54 of their 236 power play opportunities, which was a 22.9 percent power play. Calgary gave up 42 power play goals on 250 penalties against, which was an 83.2 percent kill rate. The Flames were 10th on the man advantage and 6th on the penalty kill.

The Flames were the better team on special teams in the regular season, but both teams have struggled on the power play in the postseason. Calgary has scored on 2 of their 21 power play chances. Dallas has capitalized on 3 of their 23 power play attempts in this series. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Jake Oettinger will likely get the start in the crease for Dallas in Game 7. Oettinger earned a record of 30-15-1 throughout his 46 starts in the regular season. He put up a .914 save percentage and a GAA of 2.53 in those games. Oettinger has posted a save percentage of .954 and a 1.69 GAA throughout this series so far.

Jacob Markstrom will get the nod between the pipes for the Flames on Sunday night. Markstrom started in 63 regular season games, going 37-15-9. He put up a save percentage of .922 and a 2.22 GAA in those outings. Markstrom has posted a .945 save percentage and a GAA of 1.52 throughout the first six games of this series.

These two goalies have been strong throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. Oettinger has been red hot throughout this postseason and has kept the Stars in a lot of games. Markstrom has been just as strong throughout this series as well. Both goalies will look to come out fast and steal Game 7 for their team.

Pick Overview

The Stars have been fighting back throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. Dallas has been dominant on defense and in a tight checking Game 7, I like their game a lot. The Stars are also coming off a big win at home. If Dallas can grab the early lead in this one, I think they can knock off the first one seed of the playoffs.

Bovada has Calgary listed as a -195 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Flames will win this game around 66.1 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with it being a Game 7. Dallas has the hotter goalie and if they can come out fast, I like their chances to pull off the upset. As big underdogs, I like the value on the Stars.

The Bet
Dallas Stars
+165
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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