Dallas Stars vs New York Rangers NHL Pick – October 14

The NHL season is back and is filled with action throughout October 14. Nine games will be up on the board throughout Thursday night. One of these matchups will be between the Dallas Stars and the New York Rangers. These two teams are coming off disappointing campaigns and will look for a quick start to this season. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Dallas is coming off a season where they earned a record of 23-19-14, which had them finish in fifth place of the Central Division. The Stars missed out on the postseason and will look to come out strong this season. Dallas will open up this season with a road game against a New York team that has something to prove. The Stars will look to come out hot in this one.

The Rangers finished last season with a record of 27-23-6, which had them earn the fifth seed in the East Division. New York is coming off a tough loss in their season opener against the Washington Capitals. Now the Rangers will shift back home and try to get back in the win column. I expect New York to clean up their defense as they enter Thursday night’s action.

These two teams finished right outside of the playoff picture a season ago and will look to bounce back this season. The Stars will look for their healthier lineup this season to give them an edge, while New York will look for young stars to step up. If either team can jump out to an early lead on Thursday, it could be enough to grab a big win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Dallas Stars +1 ½ (-210) +114 Over 5 ½ (-125)
New York Rangers -1 ½ (+180) -126 Under 5 ½ (+113)

 

Team Data Dallas Stars New York Rangers
Overall Record 0-0-0 0-1-0
Away/ Home Record 0-0-0 0-0-0
Goals Per Game 1.00
Goals Per Game Away/ Home
Save Percentage .815
Save Percentage Away/ Home

Betting Trends

Dallas Stars

  • 75-76 in the last two seasons
  • 22-18 in the first half of the season
  • 17-18 in non-Conference games
  • 1-1 in games where total is six or more on the road

New York Rangers

  • 64-66 in their last 130 games
  • 19-21 in first half of the season
  • 11-9 when playing on back to back days
  • 34-45 after divisional game
  • 13-14 in non-Conference games
  • 19-17 after a loss of two or more in previous matchup

These two teams met up last in the 2019-20 season. The Rangers hosted the first game of that season series, but it was Dallas who earned a 5-3 win on the night. New York bounced back in the second game though as they earned a 4-2 in on the road. These two teams have new looks now though and will look for a big win in this one.

Special Teams

The Stars were solid on special teams throughout last season. Dallas had a power play percentage of 23.6 percent, which was 5th in the NHL. The Stars had a penalty kill percentage of 79.1 percent, which was 19th in the league. Dallas will look to put together strong special teams once again this season.

New York’s special teams were strong throughout last season as well. The Rangers had a power play percentage of 20.7 percent, which was 14th in the league. New York’s penalty kill was at 82.3 percent, which was 10th in the NHL. The Rangers went 1-5 on the power play in their first game, but gave up three goals on six penalties against.

These two teams had solid special teams’ numbers throughout last season. Dallas had a 21.7 percent power play and a penalty kill of 81.5 percent on the road. The Rangers power play was 21.7 percent at home. New York’s also had an 82.8 percent penalty kill at home.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Braden Holtby to get the nod in the crease for Dallas on Thursday night. Holtby earned a record of 7-11-3 with the Vancouver Canucks last season. He posted a save percentage of .889 and a 3.67 GAA in those matchups. Holtby was let go in the offseason and will look to put up a bounce back season with the Stars.

Igor Shesterkin will likely get the start in the net for the Rangers in this one. Shesterkin finished last season with a 16-14-3 record. He put up a .916 save percentage and a GAA of 2.62 in those matchups. Shesterkin will look to continue his development this season. I expect New York to give more support to Shesterkin after giving up five goals on Wednesday night.

These two goalies will look to put up strong starts to this season. This could be Holtby’s final chance after a couple of rough seasons in a row, including one in Vancouver that saw he become a backup. If either goaltender can come out hot in this matchup on Thursday night, it could be enough for a pivotal win early in this season.

Pick Overview

The Rangers are coming off a tough loss in their first game, but I think that they will bounce back in their home opener. Dallas is still lacking some consistent offense in my opinion and I think it will lead to a slow start. New York will be focusing on more defense and if they can create more scoring chances against a struggling Holtby, I like their chances to win this one.

BetOnline has New York listed as a -126 against the money line on Thursday. This implies that the Rangers will win this game around 55.7 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with New York coming home after a win. The Rangers had momentum early in Wednesday’s loss, if they can score quickly in this one, I think they can bounce back with a win.

The Bet
New York Rangers
-126
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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