Stars vs. Senators Pick – NHL January 29th

The Dallas Stars and Ottawa Senators meet for the second time this season, and for the second time this month. On January 13th the Stars were able to edge out the Senators to earn a 5-4 win. I believe I had a winning pick in that game and we’re looking for more tonight. With the Super Bowl taking place on Sunday, most sports bettors will go on hiatus and take a break for a while after the big game. There is no rest for me though, as I will continue to handicap across all sports leading up to the beginning of baseball season. The summer months are a slow period for sports betting with only baseball available for wagering. I, however, see the summer as an opportunity for profits. I have had great success with my MLB picks and look for another successful campaign in the coming season. Before we get to baseball, we need to get through the NHL season. There are still many questions to be answered in this hockey season, so let’s finish the second half of the season up strong and with a return to show for it.

I had money on this game a few weeks when they met up and it turned it out well. As I alluded to in that particular article, the Stars and Sens are at similar crossroads this season. Both teams aren’t going to bring much to the table in terms of a playoff run is concerned, but neither are bad teams. The Stars and Senators are simply fillers between the bottom of the league and the top. Dallas’ problems are easy to recognize. There is no secret to why the Stars continue to float around mediocre play. Plenty of offense on this roster, but with little defense there isn’t much that can be done to save their season. They have an offensive heavy team that likes to take chances, but conversely, end up getting burned often for it. While the Stars do one thing particularly well, scoring goals, and one thing bad, letting in goals, the Senators are quite the contrary. They aren’t great on offense and aren’t great on defense. They are decent in both regards, but there really isn’t enough there to push them over the top to a team that can compete in the playoffs like they were not too long ago, which feels like decades ago.

Dallas Stars @ Ottawa Senators

I am sure the Stars were hoping for some indications that the defense is going to get better as the seasons chugs along. The way things have gone, they couldn’t get much worse for them. The Stars are 27th in the NHL, allowing 3.26 goals per game. For a brief moment it looked like they were going to put a respectable defensive unit on the ice, but their last ten games show a much different picture. In those previous ten games, the Stars have let in an average of 3.5 goals a game. In nine of them they allowed 3 or more goals. They held the Jets to 2 goals but that is it. However, the goal scoring remains up, as they averaged 3.10 goals in that span. The Stars come in as 4th in the NHL in goals per game, averaging 3.06 a game. So then it is the tale of two stories for this team.

As I alluded to already, the Sens aren’t good at any one thing. It certainly reflects their overall record of 19-18-5-4. They are 19th in the league in scoring and are 19th in goals against. They also have an overall O/U mark of 19-20. On a histogram the Senators would be right around the median in that respect. In their last ten games they’ve been scoring some more goals with 2.80 compared to their season average of 2.67, and allowing in a little more with 2.80 compared to their 2.70 season average. Just like their last meeting, I expect another high scoring game in Ottawa. Betting the OVER in Stars’ games is one of the safest bets you can make in hockey.

Pick – OVER 5.5 GOALS (-110) (Best Odds)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.