Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins NHL Pick – March 24

An absolutely marquee match-up will go down Thursday night between two of the top teams in the NHL’s Eastern Conference. It’s a true Atlantic Division showdown as the red-hot Boston Bruins play host to a surprisingly struggling Tampa Bay Lightning group. This showdown could also mark a potential first-round playoff matchup, so you can count on both veteran squads being keen on putting their best foot forward for this one.

The Bruins enter playing their best hockey in years, with head coach Bruce Cassidy once again doing a great job with this roster. Boston recently went out and solidified their already stingy defensive group by getting Hampus Lindholm from the Anaheim Ducks. Lindholm, along with Charlie McAvoy and Brandon Carlo will work to form one of the best blue-lines in the NHL, and that trio should be geared up from a big challenge from Tampa Bay’s depth on Thursday.

Tampa meanwhile enters having lost 3 of their past five contests. It’s a mini-slump that head coach Jon Cooper will be keen to bust his team out of. The Maple Leafs surged past Tampa Bay with results last night, and Cooper knows the value in securing home-ice for the first round. In order to do that, the Bolts need to get back on track, and start winning some games. Deadline additions of Nick Paul and Brandon Hagel should help both their overall depth, and play without the puck. In goal, look for the league’s top goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy to get the call between the pipes, likely being opposed by young Bruins netminder Jeremy Swayman.

It’s always exciting when these two high-octane squads face-off, and Thursday night won’t be any different. For added insight, and all of the most up-to-date betting news, trends, and analysis – continue reading on beneath the posted odds. It’s a big game for playoff positioning, and this is definitely one of the top match-ups on a loaded NHL slate Thursday night. Enjoy the Bolts vs. Bruins, folks!

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag


  • Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+260)
  • Boston Bruins +1.5 (-230)

  • Tampa Bay Lightning (-105)
  • Boston Bruins (-115)
Total Points:

  • Over 5.5 (-110)
  • Under 5.5 (-110)
Overall Record 39-17-6 39-19-5
ATS Record 29-33 23-40
Home/Away Record 20-11-2 18-10-2
Goals Per Game 3.3 3.0
Goals Against Per Game 2.8 2.7
Shots On Goal Per Game 30.2 35.6
Shooting % 11.1 8.4

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Prediction:

With the Bolts fading and in a bit of slump, expect a very professional effort Thursday night from this veteran squad. Though the Bruins are a tough foe, and team captain Patrice Bergeron is listed as probable to return to the lineup, the Lightning are always tough to go against when listed as underdogs.

And as of this writing, that’s the case as the Bolts head into Beantown. Adding in Brandon Hagel and Nick Paul makes this team much deeper, and significantly tougher to play against. Being hard on the puck is a key against a gritty group like the Bruins’ possess, and the Lightning should match up quite well on the road come Thursday evening. The Lightning are loaded with star power and finishing ability, balanced throughout their top-six group. Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Ondrej Palat can all be scoring weapons, while Norris-candidate Victor Hedman will be relied upon to stifle Boston’s top scoring unit.

In goal, the Bolts boast a big advantage over virtually every other NHL team with Andrei Vasilevskiy. The star Russian goalie is in the midst of yet another dominating season, boasting a .932 save percentage and just 2.2 goals against average. He’s now entered top-five in goals saved above expectation at 5v5 play, and he’s got a real knack of raising his performance in big games. Thursday’s clash is certainly one of those spots.

Boston will counter with a stingy defensive effort, making it incredibly difficult on skilled opposition to gain space through the middle of the ice. They work well as a team, and their structure right now is as good as any team in hockey. The B’s are consistently playing unders, and continue to get excellent goaltending from relative unknown in goal, Jeremy Swayman. The youngster enters Thursday with a .922 save percentage, but hasn’t proven himself yet over a lengthy stretch. Facing the high-powered Lightning offense on Thursday is another steep test for the young netminder.

Finally, for all of the scoring talent and skill on display – both teams know that the games get a little tighter come playoff time. Neither team gives up all that much in terms of high-danger or slot chances, and backed by excellent goaltending, Thursday’s crucial clash should be no different.


Lightning vs. Bruins Trends To Know:

  • Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Lightning are 61-18 in their last 79 vs. Atlantic.
  • Lightning are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Bruins are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-0 in Lightning last 6 overall.
  • Under is 3-0-2 in Bruins last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Bruins last 5 games following a win.


With both squads taking the defense-first approach of late, look for a real cagey affair at the TD Garden Thursday night.  There’s a lot on the line here as Boston looks to leapfrog the Bolts in the standings, and we should see a real defensive battle between two teams with loaded blue-lines and excellent goaltenders.  It’s a low total, but count on an intense defensive affair on Thursday evening between these two Cup contenders.



My Pick
Under 5.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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