Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks NHL Pick March 6

An exciting but rare encounter filled with stars takes centre stage Sunday evening as the Tampa Bay Lightning look to continue their run of stellar play against Patrick Kane and the Chicago Blackhawks.

While these teams are certainly heading in drastically different directions, you cannot ignore the sheer skill and star-power that’ll be on the ice in Chicago.

Though the Blackhawks fired their coach earlier in the year, it hasn’t led to improved results. While this team has gotten better defensively, and Marc-Andre Fleury has been better in goal, outside of American-born snipers in Kane and Alex DeBrincat, the depth has fallen off quickly in Chicago. This remains a franchise in dire need of a thorough rebuild, as the success of a decade ago has disappeared.

For the Bolts, they continue their ascension up the Atlantic standings and are seemingly getting red-hot at the right time. They’ve passed the Panthers and Leafs in the division and this veteran group looks well-prepared to step up and pursue a third-straight Stanley Cup. They’ve won six of their past seven contests, and with big Russian Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal, the Bolts have a shot in every game.

Can the Bolts continue their push atop a tight Atlantic division? Or will the Blackhawks rally and play the role of a pesky spoiler? For answers and added insight on this star-studded showdown, as well as betting news, trends and analysis – keep on reading beneath the current odds as we look to improve our stellar hockey record with another winning wager.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag


  • Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+100)
  • Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 (-120)

  • Tampa Bay Lightning (-240)
  • Chicago Blackhawks (+215)
Total Points:

  • Over 6 (-110)
  • Under 6 (-110)
Overall Record 36-12-6 20-28-8
ATS Record 26-28 26-28
Home/Away Record 17-7-2 10-14-4
Goals Per Game 3.4 2.5
Goals Against Per Game 2.7 3.4
Shots On Goal Per Game 30.0 28.6
Shooting % 10.4 9.2

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks Prediction:

Chicago enters Sunday night losers of 5 from their past 7 contests, and despite some impressive individual performances this year, it’s been another lost year in the Windy City.

This Chicago attack is paced by the skill and vision of both Alex DeBrincat and Patrick Kane. That duo represents the best and likely only good features of a relatively tame Chicago attack. If they are shut down, the Blackhawks won’t generate much. Against a team like Tampa Bay who checks at will, possesses Victor Hedman on defense and Anthony Cirelli at centre – don’t expect coach Jon Cooper to allow either Kane or DeBrincat too much freedom out there.

In goal, Marc-Andre Fleury continues to produce and has done a stellar job in Chicago, without much support. He holds respectable metrics to date, boasting a .911 save percentage, but surely knows Tampa Bay is a different class, given their waves of offense.

The Bolts average a stellar 3.4 goals/game and despite a puzzling power play that isn’t effective right now, Tampa remains a juggernaut at 5v5. Night in, night out, this veteran groups controls all the key possession and shooting metrics, and rarely get outplayed at even strength. When they do falter, they can count on one of the NHL’s best in Andrei Vasilevskiy to bail them out. He enters with a .921 save percentage on the year, and has played a key role in the Bolts’ resurgence of late. ‘Vasy’ enters Sunday’s clash with a fresh trim from his flowing locks, as seen in the image below!


Lightning vs. Blackhawks Trends To Know:

  • Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
  • Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
  • Blackhawks are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
  • Blackhawks are 0-4 in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Lightning are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.


The trends don’t favour Chicago and nor does the recent run of play.  The Bolts are flipping the switch at precisely the right moment once again in 2022, primed to chase yet another Stanley Cup.  This crew knows the value of home-ice and first-place in the division, and shouldn’t be dropping points to a thin Hawks squad, severely lacking scoring depth.  Expect Tampa’s skill up front to wear down an overrated Chicago defensive corps, and easily cover the -1.5 puck-line for Sunday night.

My Pick
Lightning -1.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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