Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Pick – NHL March 12, 2022

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Edmonton Oilers meet in a matchup of star power at Rogers Place. The Lightning are coming off back-to-back losses against the Jets, 7-4, and Flames, 4-1.

This was their first consecutive loss since early January. Despite the two losses, the Lightning are in good form this season with a record of 37-14-6 and 80 points.

They are 5 points behind the Florida Panthers in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are looking to cement a dynasty this season.

One more Stanley Cup and the Lightning complete the trifecta with three straight Stanley Cups. Two straight Stanley Cups it’s questionable, but three in a row and the Lightning are a dynasty.

They’ve had more success not going too hard in the regular season and then turning it up in the playoffs. If you recall, winning the Presidents’ Trophy wasn’t working for them.

Tampa would always flop in the playoffs, and nothing to show for their regular season success. In other words, they may not be leading, but they will be a threat in the playoffs.

On Thursday, the Oilers ended a three-game losing streak over the Washington Capitals in overtime, 4-3. It was a good effort from the Oilers, but looking to end losing streaks has been happening too often.

Edmonton is going into tonight at 31-23-4 with 66 points. There is really too much talent on this roster for the Oilers not to get into the playoffs and go far.

They should get in, but another early exit in the playoffs certainly looms. In any event, this should be an entertaining game in Alberta. Head below for our free Lightning vs. Oilers prediction on March 12, 2022.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+185) -118 Over 6.5 (-125)
Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-215) +107 Under 6.5 (+114)
Team Data Tampa Bay Lightning Edmonton Oilers
Overall Record 37-14-6 31-23-4
Puckline Record 27-30 25-33
Away/Home Record 18-9-2 15-12-0
Puckline Away/Home 15-14 9-18
Goals Per Game 3.4 3.2
Goals Against Per Game 2.8 3.2
Shots Per Game 30.0 33.3
Shots Against Per Game 29.4 31.8

Lightning vs. Oilers Prediction:

The Oilers can be a fun team to watch. It might be frustrating if you’re an Oilers fan, but they get into some up and down games.

It has to be especially frustrating to watch the Oilers in Edmonton at Rogers Place. They haven’t been at their best in Edmonton this season. The Oilers are only three games better than .500.

Edmonton is getting drilled with 3.48 goals against per game at Rogers Place. Meanwhile, the Oilers are scoring 3.15 goals per game at home. That doesn’t equate to success.

The Oilers have offensive fireworks with an impressive lineup featuring Connor McDavid and Leon Draisitl. With those two on your roster, it shouldn’t be a struggle to win consistently.

They are scoring 3.21 goals per game for 11th in the NHL. That’s acceptable, but it isn’t going to work when the defense is getting exploited on the other side.

Mikko Koskinen will have to improve his numbers down the stretch. Koskinen carries a 3.04 GAA, and a 0.904 save percentage into tonight.

Overall, the Oilers are allowing 3.21 goals per game for 22nd in the league. In their previous ten attempts, they’ve conceded 3.4 goals a game. Not ideal with the Lightning in Edmonton.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends:

  • 41-15 overall in their previous 56 games versus the Pacific Division
  • 39-12 overall in their previous 51 games after a loss by 3 or more goals
  • OVER is 9-1 in their previous ten games as a betting favorite on the road
  • OVER is 7-3 in their previous ten games after a loss by 3 or more goals
  • OVER is 6-2-1 in their previous nine games a betting favorite
  • 7-3 overall in their previous ten games on two-day rest
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games on a Saturday
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games at home
  • OVER is 5-2 in their previous seven games as an underdog at home
  • OVER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games on a Saturday

The Lightning will come pressure against the Oilers tonight. Tampa is aware that the Edmonton defense is vulnerable. It’d be surprising if the Lightning don’t generate Grade A scoring chances often in this one.

Tampa is seventh in the NHL with an average of 3.42 goals scored per game. On the road, their scoring actually improves to 3.69 goals per game.

The Lightning scored 3.8 goals per game through their last ten outings, though 3.3 goals against could be better. The OVER has to be considered in this one at Rogers Place tonight.


Lightning vs. Oilers Pick
OVER 6.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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