Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues NHL Pick – February 19th

The NHL has nine games on the board for Tuesday night. One of the top matchups of the night will be between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the St. Louis Blues. Both teams are playing really well as of late and it should help lead to a great matchup on February 19. This game is set to drop the puck around 8:00 PM Eastern time on NBCSN.

The Maple Leafs have earned a record of 36-19-3 this season, which has them in third place of the Atlantic Division. Toronto is coming off a tough loss against the Arizona Coyotes, but have won six of their last eight games. The Maple Leafs are one point behind the Boston Bruins for that second place spot in the Atlantic Division. Toronto will look to bounce back from their last loss with a win against the Blues on Tuesday night.

St. Louis is the hottest team in the NHL right now. The Blues have won ten games in a row and shut out their opponent in their last three games. St. Louis has been able to climb into the playoff picture after a mediocre start to the season. The Blues are 31-22-5 this season, which has them in third place of the Central Division. St. Louis will look to continue their amazing climb with a win against Toronto at home.

Tuesday night’s game between the Maple Leafs and the Blues will be the second and final matchup of the season series. Toronto and St. Louis have both been playing really well since the All Star break and it should help lead to a great matchup on Tuesday night. The Blues will look for their home fans to help keep them going with a big win at home.

Previous Matchups

Last season, the Maple Leafs and the Blues met up a total of two times. The first game was hosted by St. Louis, where the Blues were able to earn a 6-4 win. The second game of the season series shifted back to Toronto, where St. Louis was once again able to win, this time 2-1 in overtime. The Maple Leafs went on to make the playoffs, while the Blues barely missed out on the playoffs.

The first game of this season’s series was hosted by Toronto on October 20. Morgan Rielly had the only goal for the Maple Leafs, which was unsurprisingly not enough to give Toronto the win. Ryan O’Reilly had a goal and an assist, while David Perron had two assists. Ivan Barbashev, Robert Bortuzzo and Zach Sanford all added a goal for the Blues. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 23 shots to help give St. Louis the 4-1 win on the road.

Overall, the Blues have won five games in a row against the Maple Leafs. St. Louis is riding a winning streak into Tuesday night’s game, which I believe Toronto has a chance to end. The Blues have had the Maple Leafs number recently, but I believe that Toronto will look to come out fast with the goal of turning it around.

Special Teams

The Maple Leafs have put up a solid performance on both sides of special teams this season. Toronto has been able to score on around 21.2 percent of their power play chances. On the penalty killing side, the Maple Leafs have stopped opposing team’s power play chances around 81.8 percent of the time. Toronto will look for their special teams to give them the edge on Tuesday night.

St. Louis has not been great on the power play this season. The Blues have scored on about 18.7 percent of their power play chances, which is below the league average. St. Louis’ penalty kill has been doing better than their power play. The Blues have killed off around 80.1 percent on the power plays against them, which is near the league average.

Toronto has the edge when it comes to special teams in this game. St. Louis is around middle of the league on both sides of special teams, but have been doing slightly better on this ten game winning streak. The Maple Leafs still have the better special teams overall and they will look for it to help give them the edge on Tuesday night.


I believe that Frederik Andersen will start in net for the Maple Leafs. Andersen has been doing really well for Toronto this season, putting up a record of 27-12-2. He has a save percentage of .923 and a 2.56 GAA. Andersen has been playing a really strong role in net to help compliment the Maple Leafs strong offense this season.

Jordan Binnington will likely get the nod in net on Tuesday night. Binnington has been off to an extremely strong start to his NHL career this season. Binnington has a .937 save percentage and a GAA of 1.58. In his first fourteen starts, Binnington has a record of 12-1-1 with four shutouts. He will look to put up another tough performance to shut down Toronto.

Binnington has put up unmatched numbers in his games this season and he will look to do it again against the Maple Leafs. The problem with doing it against Toronto though, is that the Maple Leafs have so many different players that can beat you. I believe that Andersen will have a tough challenge as he tries to cool off a red hot St. Louis offense.

Pick Overview

The Blues are coming into Tuesday night’s matchup on a ten game winning streak and a five game winning streak against Toronto. I believe that the Maple Leafs have a good chance to end that streak. St. Louis has beat plenty of tough teams on this winning streak, but Toronto will be one of the hardest teams they meet in this stretch. If the Maple Leafs can use their special teams to their advantage, I believe they will be able to win this game.

BetOnline has St. Louis listed as a -127 against the money line. This implies that the Blues will win this game 56 percent of the time. St. Louis is at home and on a long winning streak, but all streaks come to an end. I believe that the Maple Leafs have a really strong chance to pull off the upset on Tuesday night. This gives Toronto a lot of value, which is why I am taking them as road underdogs against the Blues.

My Pick
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.