Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins NHL Pick – March 29

Long-time divisional rivals Toronto and Boston will square off Tuesday night in Beantown for the first time in a long time. Both teams have steadily improved throughout the season, and will take to the ice Tuesday jostling for playoff positioning in a tight Atlantic division.

The Leafs put together an impressive evening on Sunday night vs. the first-place Panthers, riding some great shooting and steady goaltending to improve their chances at securing home-ice in the first-round. Petr Mrazek was steady between the pipes and look for the veteran netminder to get the call in goal against the hated Bruins.

For Boston, they enter Tuesday’s pivotal clash as one of the hottest teams in the NHL since the calendar turned to 2022. Despite getting off to a slow start, the Bruins are playing outstanding team defense, while also boasting excellent netminding from a relatively young tandem. Rookie goalie Jeremy Swayman is the likely starter for this clash, and enters riding the hot hand for the B’s. Boston solidified their blue-line at the trade deadline, going out and getting top defeceman Hampus Lindholm from Anaheim. Together with Charlie McAvoy, that’s one of the NHL’s top shutdown pairings, and look for them to be tasked to limit Toronto’s top line, featuring the league-leading goal-scorer Auston Matthews.

With all of the history between these two rosters, and all that is on the line Tuesday night, don’t expect this regular season showing to feel like just another game. Both clubs aren’t too fond of each other and enter this clash tied on points. For the latest info and betting analysis for this pivotal match-up, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our pick and betting preview for this Atlantic Division battle. Enjoy one of hockey’s hottest rivalries!

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by


  • Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-190)
  • Boston Bruins -1.5 (+170)

  • Toronto Maple Leafs (+105)
  • Boston Bruins (-125)
Total Points:

  • Over 6.5 (+100)
  • Under 6.5 (-120)
Overall Record 41-19-5 41-19-5
ATS Record 27-38 25-40
Home/Away Record 17-12-3 20-10-2
Goals Per Game 3.6 3.0
Goals Against Per Game 3.0 2.7
Shots On Goal Per Game 34.6 35.8
Shooting % 10.5 8.5

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins Prediction:

With identical records heading into Tuesday night, it makes this clash all the more important. Boston enters 8-1-1 in their past ten games, and they’re truly clicking at the right time. Their scoring depth is outstanding, while their defensive structure remains near the top of the NHL. This is a club that has had ample success at limiting Toronto’s offense in recent history, and with Hampus Lindholm now in the fold, they’ll like their chances at doing this once again.

The Leafs enter playing their third game in four nights, and will turn back to Petr Mrazek. Though the Czech goalie was good against Florida, he hasn’t been all that steady away from home ice. Making matters worse for the Leafs is that injury issues continue to creep up. Jake Muzzin and Rasmus Sandin remain out injured on the Toronto blue-line, while Ondrej Kase continues his absence up front. Look for Toronto to continue to try and ride their top-rated power play to success vs. a physical Boston group, though the B’s boast one of the league’s most dominant penalty kills.

Despite the offensive success for Toronto this year, it hasn’t always translated away from home ice when coach Sheldon Keefe can best control the matchup. The Bruins are as stingy of a defensive group as the Leafs will see, and Jeremy Swayman’s current form far exceeds that of Petr Mrazek. Look for Boston’s scoring depth to outpace the Leafs, and their steady blue-line to keep the Leafs in check on Tuesday night.


Leafs vs. Bruins Trends To Know:

  • Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Maple Leafs are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
  • Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Bruins are 14-3 in their last 17 overall.
  • Bruins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Maple Leafs are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Boston.
  • Home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.


The trends align with our way of thinking here, and side with the healthier Bruins.  Toronto hasn’t fared well all season long away from home, and have been prone to collapsing when the going gets tough in opposing buildings.  The TD Garden in Boston is somewhat of a ‘house of horrors’ for this version of the Leafs, and Tuesday’s trip should rehash some old memories for this Leafs’ core.  Look for Boston to suffocate Toronto’s heralded offense, en route to a stifling performance against the Leafs on Tuesday night.

My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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