Washington Capitals vs. Ottawa Senators Pick – NHL October 25, 2021

The Washington Capitals are at the Canadian Tire Centre in Kanata for a Monday night meeting with the Ottawa Senators. The Capitals are coming off an entertaining loss against the Calgary Flames. It wasn’t very entertaining for Capitals’ fans or if you had money on the Caps, but hey, sweating and getting the heart rate up is all part of this game.

Without losses it wouldn’t make the winners feel as good as they do. That’s the optimistic talking in me, though. The Capitals haven’t gone a game without recording a point this season, there’s some optimism for Capitals’ fans. They are going into Monday night with a record of 3-0-2, with two losses in extra time.

Their first overtime loss was a hard-fought battle between the Tampa Bay Lightning, 2-1. It wasn’t a bad effort there for the Caps. They battled hard and out shot the Lightning 33 to 24. The Caps ran into a hot goaltender in Andre Vasilevskiy. That’s going to happen sometimes.

Vitek Vanecek had a poor performance between the pipes against the Flames, as he allowed 3 goals on 13 shots for a 0.769 save percentage. Ilya Samsonov saw time as well, with a goal allowed on 14 shots from the Flames. I can’t say that the Capitals deserved that one. They put only 25 shots on target and were aided by a weak performance from Flames’ netminder Daniel Vladar.

The Capitals have 8 points going into this evening. This early in the season, looking at the standings doesn’t really paint a picture. Everyone is still so close that it’s going to take some time for teams to break apart. The Penguins, Capitals, and Hurricanes are all tied with 8 points in the Metropolitan, while the New York Rangers are up with 9 points.

They take on a Senators squad that is looking for progress this season. The Senators would like to get out of a rebuilding campaign sooner rather than later. It’s not going to happen in the 2021-22 season, but we might see something out of the Sens in the next year or two.

They’re coming off two hard losses against a good Sharks team, 2-1, and then 3-2 most recently against the 4-1-1 Rangers, 3-2. Keep competing and the bounces will eventually go your way. They catch the Capitals off a below average performance in this one. Head below for our free Capitals vs. Senators pick on October 25, 2021.

Washington Capitals vs. Ottawa Senators Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Washington Capitals -1.5 (+160) -143 Over 6 (-116)
Ottawa Senators +1.5 (-180) +129 Under 6 (+105)
Team Data Washington Capitals Ottawa Senators
Overall Record 3-0-2 2-3-0
Puckline Record 4-1 3-2
Away/Home Record 1-0-0 2-2-0
Puckline Away/Home 1-0 3-0
Goals Per Game 3.80 2.00
Goals Against Per Game 2.20 2.40
Shots Per game 30.40 28.60
Shots Against Per Game 25.60 32.20

Capitals vs. Senators Prediction:

One of the most important things that the Senators have to figure out is who is going to be their franchise goaltender. Do they really think that Matt Murray is their long-term option for when they want to be a contender?

I’m not so sure that Murray is the guy. Nor is backup Anton Forsberg. Forsberg is a 28-year-old and isn’t getting better now. He’s a fine backup. Murray is 27 and he’s peaked as well. The Penguins didn’t feel confident in Murray and sent him off.

Murray has a 1.60 GAA and 0.936 save percentage through two games this season. That’s good. His 3.38 GAA and 0.893 save percentage last year wasn’t good, though. His last year in Pittsburgh was shaky with a 2.87 GAA and 0.899 save percentage.

We’re not going to get to see Murray tonight because he’s on the IR after leaving the ice against the Rangers over the weekend. Forsberg has been confirmed, while Ilya Samsonov is going for the Caps. In three appearances this season Forsberg is off the mark


Washington Capitals vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Trends:

Capitals

  • 8-0 overall in their previous eight games versus the Senators
  • 8-3 overall in their previous 11 games on the road
  • 6-1 overall in their previous seven games versus the Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre
  • 16-6 overall in their previous 22 games versus a team with a losing record
  • 43-16 overall in their previous 59 games on the road as a favorite

Senators

  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games versus the Capitals at the Canadian Tire Centre
  • 5-15 overall in their previous 20 games versus the Eastern Conference
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games as an underdog at the Canadian Tire Centre
  • 26-56 overall in their previous 82 games versus a team with a winning record

Forsberg takes on the Capitals with a 3.45 GAA and 0.913 save percentage in three games. He hasn’t had his GAA below 3.00 since a 2.97 with the Blackhawks in 2017-18. It’s his only season in seven years that Forsberg has been below that mark.

Through 59 games in his career, Forsberg has a 3.23 GAA and 0.903 save percentage. In three games versus the Capitals, he has a 3.02 GAA and 0.889 save percentage. Samsonov has been solid for the Caps with a 2.34 GAA and 0.902 save percentage.

Samsonov has stopped the Senators for a 2.01 GAA and 0.927 save percentage in two previous outings. The Caps have been best in the NHL this season with 25.6 shots against per game. They’ve allowed 2.2 goals per game, while burying 3.8 goals per game offensively.

Off a porous performance in a 4-3 loss against the Flames, expect the Capitals to come out with more fire in this one. They were fortunate to earn a point. I’m going with the Capitals to make it nine straight wins over the Senators.

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