Minnesota Wild vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Pick
Dubnyk hasn’t been sharp in net in his last two outings. He allowed 4 goals to the Senators and then another 4 in a 4-3 loss to the Coyotes. Dubnyk was fortunate to be playing the Senators, who would have trouble stopping a college team defensively. He got some solid goal support with the Wild ringing up 6 on the board. Other than his recent rough patch, he has played relatively well with a 2.57 GAA and 0.916 save percentage.
That doesn’t look luck much, but in the NHL today that is pretty decent. Scoring has been up, so what used to look like average numbers for goaltenders are better this season. The Wild have the edge in this game on defence, as they’ve allowed 2.75 goals per game compared to 3.21 per game for the Blue Jackets. Sergei Bobrovsky must find another level and improve on his 2.74 GAA to be considered great. He was doing well before the Red Wings mauled him for 5 goals.
Along with their matching records, the Blue Jackets have gone 10-12 to the O/U and the Wild are 12-10, so everything has essentially evened out statistically in this contest. In other words, the bookmakers are giving the Blue Jackets -130, or thereabout, for home ice. Columbus have gone 6-4-0 at home, while the Jackets are 6-5-0 on the road. I don’t find any value with the Blue Jackets at that price. In a game that has been decided by one goal in their last three meetings, drinking the juice doesn’t look like the wise play in Ohio on Thursday. I’d get the value with the Wild in this contest.