Minnesota Wild vs Detroit Red Wings NHL Pick – March 10

The NHL is set up with another great slate of hockey throughout Thursday night. Thirteen games are up on the board throughout March 10. One of these games will be between the Minnesota Wild and the Detroit Red Wings. These two teams have been struggling as of late and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Minnesota has earned a record of 33-19-3 so far this season, which has them sitting in third place of the Central division. The Wild are coming off a win in their last game, but have lost eight of their last eleven. Minnesota is two points back on the second spot, but have a one point lead on the fourth seed. The Wild will look to build on their last win in this one.

The Red Wings have posted a record of 24-27-6 throughout the season, which has them in fifth place of the Atlantic division. Detroit has lost three games in a row and five of their last six. The Red Wings are 17 points out of a playoff spot, but will look to play spoiler down the stretch. I expect Detroit to come out much faster after a blowout loss to Arizona in their last game.

These two teams have been struggling as of late and will look for a big win in this one. The Wild are still in a playoff spot, but are quickly watching their lead disappear. Detroit has fallen further out of a wild card spot in this stretch. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough to earn the win on Thursday night.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Minnesota Wild -1 ½ (+130) -180 Over 6 ½ (-111)
Detroit Red Wings +1 ½ (-150) +162 Under 6 ½ (+101)

 

Team Data Minnesota Wild Detroit Red Wings
Overall Record 33-19-3 24-27-6
Away/ Home Record 16-13-2 16-12-3
Goals Per Game 3.71 2.84
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 3.29 3.19
Save Percentage .901 .888
Save Percentage Away/ Home .905 .891

Betting Trends

Minnesota Wild

  • 2-3 in March
  • 15-7 after a non-Conference game
  • 16-7 in a non-Conference game
  • 8-8 after a win by two goals or more
  • 16-14 after scoring four or more goals
  • 18-9 against team with a losing record

Detroit Red Wings

  • 1-3 in March
  • 11-13 after a non-Conference game
  • 8-17 in non-Conference games
  • 11-10 after allowing four goals or more
  • 12-12 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 4-2 after three or more straight losses
  • 10-19 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up once this season on February 14 in Minnesota. Dylan Larkin had a goal and an assist, but it was not enough for the Red Wings. Matt Boldy had three goals and an assist, while Kirill Kaprizov had two goals and an assist. Mats Zuccarello finished with three assists to help lead the Wild to a 7-4 win at home.

Special Teams

The Wild have struggled a bit on special teams this season. Minnesota has scored on 33 of their 167 power play chances, which is a 19.8 percent success rate. The Wild have killed off 138 of their opponents 181 power play attempts, which is a 76.2 percent penalty kill. Minnesota is 18th on the power play and 23rd on the kill this season.

Detroit has not been any better on special teams on the season. The Red Wings have capitalized on 28 of their 162 power play opportunities, which is a 17.3 percent power play. Detroit has given up 40 power play goals on 154 penalties against, which is a 74 percent kill rate. The Red Wings are 27th on the man advantage and 29th on the penalty kill.

These two teams have struggled on special teams throughout this season and will look to step up in this one. Minnesota has a slight edge on both the power play and penalty kill entering this one. The Red Wings will look to step up quickly in this one though. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Cam Talbot to get the start in the crease for Minnesota in this one. Talbot has earned a record of 21-12-1 throughout his 34 starts on the season. He has posted a save percentage of .908 and a 2.95 GAA in those outings. Talbot’s last start was against the New York Rangers. He stopped 23 of 25 shots in route to the win.

Alex Nedeljkovic will likely get the nod in between the pipes for the Red Wings on Thursday night. Nedeljkovic has started in 37 games this season, going 15-17-5 in those matchups. He has put up a .901 save percentage and a GAA of 3.19 in his starts. Nedeljkovic finished with 20 saves on 27 shots in his last start against the Arizona Coyotes.

These two goalies have been solid on the season, but will look to step up in this one. Talbot is coming off back to back wins, but lost four starts in a row before that. Nedeljkovic has lost four of his last five starts. Both goalies will look to bounce back in this one. If either goalie can get into a rhythm early, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have struggled as of late, but will look for a big two points in this one. Detroit is coming off a 9-2 loss against the Arizona Coyotes and will look to clean up their play in this one. Minnesota bounced back with a big win in their last game. If the Red Wings can start fast at home though, I think they can pull off the upset against Minnesota.

BetOnline has the Wild listed as a -180 against the money line in this one. This implies that Minnesota will win this game around 64.3 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams struggling and Detroit at home. Both teams match up well on special teams and in net in this one. As big underdogs, I really like the value on the Red Wings.

The Bet
Detroit Red Wings
+162
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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