MLB

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees - July 4, 2024

July 04, 2024, 10:02am EDT

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SPREAD PICK

Cincinnati Reds

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

Best Value

-125

MONEYLINE PICK

Cincinnati Reds

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

Best Value

cin

+165

OVER/UNDER PICK

Under

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

Best Value

-110

As a former sports statistician, I can’t help but dive into the numbers for this upcoming Reds versus Yankees game. On paper, it looks like a matchup where both teams have their strengths and weaknesses.

The Yankees, with their powerful batting lineup averaging 5.1 runs per game, seem to have the edge when it comes to offensive production compared to the Reds’ average of 4.3 runs per game. However, the Reds have been surprisingly efficient lately, winning five out of their last six games and holding opponents to fewer runs.

When we look at the pitching duel, Stroman of the Yankees has a slightly better ERA than Montas of the Reds (3.6 vs. 4.2). Both pitchers have similar strikeout rates around 8.4 strikeouts per game, indicating that they can be effective in keeping batters at bay.

Despite the recent struggles of the Yankees, losing seven out of their last nine games and not performing well against the spread or in terms of total games going over, they still remain a formidable opponent with a solid record of 54-34 for the season.

On the other hand, the Reds have shown resilience and an ability to capitalize on opportunities in close games, as seen in their previous victory against the Yankees with a scoreline of 3-2.

Taking all these factors into consideration along with my analysis of their recent performance trends and statistical averages, I predict that this game will be closely contested but ultimately end in favor of the Cincinnati Reds. The under seems like a safe bet given both teams’ pitching strength and recent tendencies towards lower-scoring games.

So there you have it – my data-driven prediction for this exciting interleague matchup between two competitive teams vying for a crucial victory at Yankee Stadium. Let’s see how it all plays out on Thursday night!

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds
Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by

Wager TypeNew York YankeesCincinnati Reds
Team DataNew York YankeesCincinnati Reds
Runs5.084.26
Hits8.367.44
Runs Batted In4.864.01
Batting Average0.2460.222
On-Base Slugging74.76%66.24%
Walks3.913.11
Strikeouts8.448.39
Earned Run Average3.603.88