Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals - June 4, 2025

As we gear up for the matchup between the Kansas City Royals and St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium, it’s essential to dive into the stats and trends that will shape this game. Both teams are looking to secure a win, but I believe the Cardinals have the edge in this one.

Starting on the mound for Kansas City is Noah Cameron, who has had a solid season thus far with a record of 2-1 and an impressive ERA of 1.05. His strikeout rate of 8.1 per nine innings suggests he can be effective against opposing hitters, but we must consider that he’s facing a formidable Cardinals lineup today.

On the other hand, Miles Mikolas takes the hill for St. Louis with a record of 4-2 and an ERA sitting around 3.9. While his numbers may not jump off the page like Cameron’s, Mikolas brings experience and consistency to this matchup. He averages about 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings which indicates he can get outs when needed.

When we look at team batting statistics, there’s a notable difference in offensive production between these two squads. The Cardinals score approximately 4.6 runs per game with an average of nearly 8.7 hits—indicative of their ability to get on base frequently (70% on-base slugging percentage). In contrast, Kansas City struggles offensively with only about 3.2 runs per game and just over 8 hits—highlighting their difficulties in capitalizing on scoring opportunities (64% on-base slugging percentage).

The recent form also favors St. Louis despite their last outing where they lost to Kansas City in a high-scoring affair (10-7). They’ve shown resilience throughout the season with a strong home record and are generally more productive offensively than their opponents today.

Kansas City has been decent against the spread lately, going 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games; however, they’ve struggled slightly away from home as indicated by their past performances where six out of nine games went UNDER when playing on the road.

Conversely, while St. Louis has faced challenges recently going just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games, they’ve still managed to maintain a positive overall record (33-27) compared to Kansas City’s mark of (32-29). Moreover, five out of their last six games have gone OVER which reflects an upward trend in scoring potential even if they fell short recently.

Given all these factors—Cameron’s stellar start against Mikolas’ steady performance combined with both teams’ offensive capabilities—I predict that tonight’s game will favor St. Louis ultimately leading them to victory over Kansas City while keeping total runs scored under expectations due to both pitchers’ abilities to limit damage early on.

In conclusion, expect a tightly contested battle where I see St. Louis coming out ahead while keeping it under tonight’s total line set at eight-and-a-half runs!