Brazil vs. Croatia World Cup Quarter-Final Pick – December 9





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With a spot in the coveted World Cup semi-finals on the line, Croatia will likely have one last chance with this team at World Cup glory, as they take on the favoured Brazilians in Qatar.

The Brazilians dominated South Korea in the round of 16, and with elite pace and skill up front, they’ll provide a real test to a relatively unproven Croatian back-line. The health of Brazilian soccer icon Pele continues to also remain at the forefront of their preparations for this match. You better believe the Selecao will want to secure World Cup glory for the first time in 20 years for the soccer legend.

Croatia and head coach Zlatko Dalic also have no injury concerns, and will likely turn to the lineup that carved Canada wide open in the group stages. They were runners-up in 2018, and many realize this could be their last chance for success. Their midfield remains one of the best in the world, and captain Luka Modric will be the engine that drives their attack forward. They were especially stout at the back during group stage matches, and have to feel confident entering this game against Brazil. Croatia will try to retain possession as much as possible, but they’ve been well-structured and organized, and very tough to break down.

Continue reading on beneath the posted odds and betting history, for the latest news, trends, and information to help you make an informed decision when betting on this year’s World Cup. With all that is on the line, this quarter-final Croatia vs. Brazil match surely won’t disappoint. Enjoy the game, folks!

Brazil vs. Croatia Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

SPREAD-1 (-150)+1 (+130)
TOTALOver 2.5 (+100)Under 2.5 (-120)
Overall Record3-0-11-3-0
Home/Away Record2-0-11-2-0
Expected Goals2.552.09
Expected Goals Allowed1.231.05
Clean Sheets40%60%

Brazil vs. Croatia Prediction

With dominant players across the pitch, this should be a thrilling encounter – especially as both teams like to play on the ball. And though the Selecao will be without both Alex Telles and Gabriel Jesus, their lineup remains loaded at skill positions.

Expect Brazil to really combat Croatia in the middle of the pitch. And while they might not hold the dominance they’ve been used to, the support from their front players in Neymar, Vinicius, and Richarlison should tilt the possession edge to Brazil. The Brazilians also do boast a pretty decisive speed advantage, and that should be noticeable from them out wide in the flank areas.

Expect excellent full-back play and tenacity in the midfield from the Croatians. They’ll see a lot of the ball, and do their best to take time and space away from the speed of the Brazilians. In attack, Croatia possesses a massive aerial advantage, and the pace and creativity of Brozovic and Perisic. should open up all kinds of lanes. Andrej Kramaric was all over the ball against a weak Canada defense, though the Brazilians will be stronger at the back.

Croatia will be frustrating to Brazil, especially with their ball winners and distributors in the midfield, but the depth and pace of the Selecao is going to eventually find the holes in this Croatian back-line. They’ve been solid at the back all tournament long, but have not faced a team with the skill and calibre of Brazil. Expect Brazil to carve them open, and force Croatia into a game they’re uncomfortable with.

Brazil vs. Croatia Trends To Know:

  • Croatia are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 FIFA World Cup matches.
  • Croatia is 9-4-1 in its last 14 matches.
  • Croatia have drawn five of their past six tournament knockout games, including three 1-1 draws at Russia 2018, where they remarkably reached the final.
  • Brazil is 10-0-1 in its last 11 matches.
  • The UNDER is 9-4-1 in Croatia’s last 14 matches.

While this might be a cagey and relatively even opening, eventually the speed and skill in wide areas from Brazil will open up Croatia. This is a veteran group, but likely a tired one as well. The squad depth from the Brazilians can and should be overwhelming, and expect the Brazilians to secure a relatively comfortable win inside the 90 minutes on Friday afternoon.

Our Pick
About the Author
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Will Salvarinas
Content Writer
Blog and News
Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist providing top-notch analysis on the World Cup and European Championships. Over the years, he’s expanded his coverage to include other major sports like the NFL, NHL and MLB. As an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, Salvarinas is always eager to share his insight or get into a healthy debate over what bets to make.

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