Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Volunteers Pick – NCAAB January 28, 2023

There will be a lot of orange on the floor at Thompson-Boling Arena on Saturday. In a matchup featuring two top-10 teams, the Texas Longhorns and Tennessee Volunteers butt heads in Knoxville. We have our Texas vs. Tennessee best bets and predictions for this weekend showdown.

Texas and Tennessee are in good standing entering this marquee matchup between the Big 12 and SEC. The Longhorns and Volunteers are both 17-3, with each side having won eight of their previous ten outings.

There was a lot to like in their latest assignments, too. The Longhorns and Volunteers covered the spread on Tuesday and Wednesday. In the first matchup, Texas cleared Oklahoma State by a score of 89-75 to cover 8 points at home.

Tennessee had a date the following night at home against the Georgia Bulldogs. It was a total beatdown, as the Volunteers looked like a national title contender with a 70-41 win. They covered the 16.5 points with ease in Knoxville.

It is going to be a wide-open NCAA Tournament in March and April. Texas and Tennessee must be included in the national discussion.

Both teams have proven that they can win on any floor, as well. That is especially important when teams have to win on a neutral court in March.

Head below for our best Texas vs. Tennessee predictions and best bets on January 28, 2023.

Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Volunteers Live Betting Odds:

Texas vs Tennessee Odds Courtesy of Bovada:

Texas Longhorns+7 (-110)OFFOver 136.5 (-110)
Tennessee Volunteers-7 (-110)OFFUnder 136.5 (-110)
Team DataTexasTennessee
Overall Record17-317-3
ATS Record8-12-012-8-0
Away/Home Record3-19-1
ATS Away/Home2-2-07-3-0
Points Per Game80.574.1
Points Against Per Game66.853.7
Field Goal %48.344.2
Three Point %33.434.0

Texas vs. Tennessee Predictions

The Longhorns have not been a profitable bet against the spread despite a record of 17-3 this season. They are just 8-12-0 ATS going into Knoxville this weekend.

The Longhorns have covered just three of their previous nine games. Wins and losses can be a bit deceptive when it comes to gambling.

On the other side, the Volunteers are 12-8-0 ATS going into Saturday. They’ve been a sharp bet at home, with a record against the spread of 7-3-0.

Tennessee has not had many issues at home this season. They are not perfect, though.

The Kentucky Wildcats had a rare impressive spot over the Volunteers on January 14. The Vols lost as 11-point favorites by a score of 63-56.

Fight For Every Point

The Volunteers make their opponents fight and scrap for every point on the floor. They do not give up anything easily. Getting free points against Tennessee because of defensive breakdowns is not common.

The Volunteers lead the NCAA with an average of 53.7 points allowed per game. Holding teams to 33.9% shooting from the field is an incredible accomplishment.

There are not any weaknesses on the defense. They are capable of stopping teams on the inside at the rim and on the perimeter.

The Volunteers have limited the opposition to a 21.6% three-point percentage, which is also good for first in the country. Texas has a good offense, but they have not been good from deep, with a mediocre 33.4% three-point percentage.

Timmy Allen Must Take Charge

If Texas is going to win in Knoxville, it is going to take Timmy Allen having a big game. Sure, Marcus Carr has to play well, but Texas needs to establish an interior game with Allen.

Tennessee should be able to limit Carr in the backcourt with Zakai Zeigler. When Carr isn’t hot from the floor, Texas needs a Plan B. The native of Toronto has scored 17.6 points per game on 46.5% shooting.

Allen is going into this one with 10.7 points per game on 48.5% shooting. He has had big games, but has also disappeared. If Allen does not contribute, Carr will be on an island by himself against a physical Tennessee defense.

Texas vs. Tennessee Betting Pick

The Longhorns are 17-3 because of their potent offense. They struggle from three, but have scored 80.5 points per game on 48.3% shooting overall. The defense is just 111th with 66.8 points against per game.

The Vols should limit what the Longhorns want to do offensively at home. Texas’ scoring drops to 65.5 points per game and a 41.9% field goal percentage in four games on the road this season. Tennessee has been incredibly efficient, with 49.1 points allowed per contest in Knoxville.

We expect Tennessee to pull away in the second half. Look for a 75-63 win and cover for Tennessee.

Texas vs. Tennessee Best Bet
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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