Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick – NBA Christmas December 25, 2022

The Los Angeles Lakers and Dallas Mavericks tip-off on Christmas afternoon at the American Airlines Center in downtown Dallas. The Lakers and Mavericks were both in action on Friday night. We have our Lakers vs. Mavericks predictions and best bets for the big showdown on Christmas Day in Texas.

This has been another season of disappointment, at least so far for the Lakers. There was one brief quality stretch when the Lakers looked good. For the most part, though, it appears like another season where there is not enough chemistry on the floor.


Unsurprisingly, Anthony Davis is on the shelf with an injury. Davis is dealing with a foot injury and is likely out until mid-January. The Lakers have not revealed what the diagnosis is on Davis, but he will not be available on Christmas anyway.

They are an injury away to LeBron James of this season turning into a disaster quickly. At 13-18 — with a game on Friday night pending against the Hornets — the Lakers are 13th in the Western Conference. The oddsmakers are not confident that this season is going to get better.

The Mavericks have been fine, but a .500 record of 16-16 is not what they wanted in late December. With Friday night pending against Houston Rockets, the Mavs have won two of their previous five attempts.

Head below for our free Lakers vs. Mavericks best bets and betting pick on Christmas Day.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks Live Betting Odds:

Lakers vs Mavericks Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
LA Lakers+8 (-110)OFFOver 225.5 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks-8 (-110)OFFUnder 225.5 (-110)
Team DataLA LakersDallas Mavericks
Overall Record13-1816-16
ATS Record12-18-111-19-2
Away/Home Record5-1112-5
ATS Away/Home5-11-05-10-2
Points Per Game115.3110.9
Points Against Per Game117.3109.5
Field Goal %47.646.5
Three Point %33.135.9

Lakers vs. Mavericks Predictions

Neither team has been a good bet this season. The Lakers and Mavericks are typically public bets, so this has not gone well for a lot of people. The Lakers are 12-18-1 against the spread, while the Mavericks are just 11-19-2 against the spread.

What are we going to do with this point spread? That looks like a lot of points to lay on the Mavericks. That being said, you could also make the argument that the Lakers run out of gas in the 4th quarter.

If this were 4 or 5 points, the Mavericks would have looked really good right now. However, 8 points is just too high for us. The total is the better bet in this spot.

Lakers’ Defense Reeling Without Anthony Davis

In three games without Davis on the floor, the defense has been well out of order. This is to be expected without his presence in the paint, though. Remove AD from a defense that is already having problems, and there is not going to be much defense to speak of in LA.

The Lakers have given up 134, 130, and 119 points since AD has been absent. In their latest outing, the Kings blasted the Lakers for 134 points in a 134-120 game.

Depth off the bench was already an issue for the Lakers before he went down. Now it is an even bigger problem. This team looks tired trying to keep up with teams that can run. It should be a problem against Luka Doncic.

The Lakers have allowed an average of 117.3 points per game for 26th in the NBA. They are 29th in defensive rebounding and it is going to get even worse for the Lakers now.

Luka Doncic Should Feast on Christmas

The native of Slovenia is going off for the Mavericks this season. He has scored an average of 32.2 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 8.7 assists per game. Doncic is trying to do it all for Mavs, but they only have a record of 16-16 to show for his work.

He should have a free run at this defense. Driving to the rim is going to be a lot easier now without the Lakers’ best forward off the floor. Tim Hardaway Jr. should have his way in this one, as well.


When you look at the game like this, the Mavericks should win and pull away. LeBron James is going to throw everything he has at this game. And at least the offense has been playing well lately.

The Lakers have netted an average of 117.4 points per game and a 49% field goal percentage in their previous five outings. They have been hot from the outside, with a team three-point percentage of 38.3% during that time.

Lakers vs. Mavericks Betting Pick:

The Mavericks have not always put up big offensive numbers despite having Doncic scoring more than 30 points a game. However, the Lakers should allow the Mavericks to get open shots often on Sunday afternoon.

Dallas can look strong defensively at times. That said, there is still work to be done for the Mavericks. They are 25th in the NBA with teams shooting a very solid 48.1% from the field and 36% from three against their defense.

For our Lakers vs. Mavericks prediction, we are projecting a final score of 120-112 on Christmas in Dallas.


Lakers vs. Mavericks Best Bet
UNDER 225.5
About the Author
Kyle Eve profile picture
Kyle Eve
Sports/Casino Writer
Blog and News
FaceBook Twitter
Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *