Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets Pick – NBA January 11, 2023

The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets have a Christmas Day rematch on Wednesday night at Ball Arena. Do not expect a repeat of the overtime thriller that we saw a few weeks back. We have our best Suns vs. Nuggets predictions and best bets for this Western Conference showdown.

The Nuggets beat the Suns in a wild come-from-behind victory at home on Christmas. They were able to claw back to force overtime and then capture a 128-125 win. Phoenix had a 6-point lead going into halftime, but could not finish in the 4th quarter.


A lot has gone wrong for the Suns since that matchup. They are dealing with key injuries, and as a result, the losses are piling up high in Phoenix. However, the Suns were able to get back on the winning page last night.

The Suns are coming off a 125-113 win over the Golden State Warriors in the Bay Area. The Warriors have been tough to beat at home, so that was a good victory for the Suns. This was only their first win since a 128-105 final at Memphis on December 27.

Going back to December 20, the Suns have lost nine of their previous 11 attempts. Conversely, the Nuggets are riding a three-game winning streak, with wins in five of their last six outings. They are covering point spreads while winning games.

The Nuggets are tied for the lead in the West at 27-13. They share first with the Memphis Grizzlies going into Wednesday night. Head below for our Suns vs. Nuggets betting pick and predictions for January 11, 2023.

Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets Live Betting Odds:

Suns vs Nuggets Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Phoenix Suns+13 (-110)+625Over 227 (-110)
Denver Nuggets-13 (-110)-1000Under 227 (-110)
Team DataPhoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Overall Record21-2127-13
ATS Record21-21-021-19-0
Away/Home Record7-1417-3
ATS Away/Home10-11-013-7-0
Points Per Game113.0116.8
Points Against Per Game111.0113.7
Field Goal %46.550.8
Three Point %38.439.9

Suns vs. Nuggets Predictions

The Nuggets have covered seven of their previous eight attempts. They’ve had the hottest offense in the NBA during this stretch. Are the Suns going to be able to slow them down on a back-to-back tonight?

With a shorthanded roster, playing fundamentally sound defense is going to be required. The Suns cannot win a shootout against the Nuggets. Denver will shoot the Suns out of the building in this case.

The Suns are typically a public team and have been losing money as of late. They are 2-5-0 ATS in their previous seven games. This is not a very good team at all when they are without their stars on the floor.

Suns Ravished By Injuries

There are not many teams in the NBA that would be able to get away with these types of injuries and win games. Actually, we should say that there are not any teams in the league that would be able to withstand this injury list.

Leading scorer Devin Booker is off the floor until at least later this month with a groin injury. Once he exited, everything came down on the Suns. Cameron Payne joins Booker as a guy that may not be back until late January.

Along with those two extended injuries, Chris Paul, Deandre Ayton, and Landry Shamet are dealing with injuries. None of these players suited up last night, and their status for tonight is not clear.


The Suns without Ayton against Nikola Jokic looks like a clear mismatch on the floor. In the Christmas meeting, Ayton was the most effective Sun with 22 points and 16 rebounds. Shamet had a big showing off the bench, with 31 points and 6 assists.

Shoot The Lights Out

The concern for the Suns has to be keeping up with this Denver offense. The Nuggets have a healthy starting-five and should be in for another big night. They are second with a team field goal percentage of 50.8%.

Converting from long-range has been a success for the Nuggets. With a 39.9% three-point percentage, the Nuggets are leading the NBA. At home, their offensive numbers improve to a 51.8% field goal percentage and a 41.7% three-point percentage.

This has been consistent with what the Nuggets have accomplished recently. Through their last five outings, the Nuggets have scored 119.8 points per game and shooting 43% from three. Conversely, the Suns are ice cold without a healthy lineup on the floor.

Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Pick:

The Suns have a reputation for being a great team. However, not in their current shape with all of these injuries. No team would be able to win consistently without these many key players out.

In their last five attempts, the Suns have scored 98 points per game and a 42% field goal percentage. This is with the 125 points they scored last night. That was the first game the Suns scored more than 100 points in since a 113-104 loss to the Raptors on December 30.

The defense has been doing all it can to hold up, but do not look for the Suns to cool off the Nuggets. Expect the Nuggets to stay hot and run away from the Suns. As long as the Nuggets can fend off a backdoor cover, they should have this one at home.

For our Suns vs. Nuggets prediction, we are looking at a 121-105 win and cover for the Nuggets.


Suns vs. Nuggets Best Bet
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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