Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers Pick – NCAA Football Week 13

The Oregon Ducks have a high stakes game in the Civil War at the Oregon State University. If the Ducks win, they’re off to Las Vegas for the Pac-12 Championship at Allegiant Stadium. We have our latest Oregon vs. Oregon State predictions and best bets for Saturday afternoon.

Oregon State is hoping to play spoiler and cap off a successful regular season. They can’t go to the Pac-12 Championship, but finishing off the regular season with a win over their rival would be a big win. The last time that Oregon State won 9 games was in 2012.

via@pac12

The Beavers are going into the Civil War with a record of 8-3. They are coming off a 31-7 win over the Arizona State Sun Devils. This was after a 38-10 win at Cal over the Golden Bears.

Since losing to Utah on October 1, Oregon State has won five of six attempts. One of their losses was an incredibly competitive game against a good USC team. The Beavers were close to pulling off the upset in a 17-14 loss on September 24.

There have not been many negatives to speak of regarding this Beavers team. They deserve a pretty good bowl invite for their efforts. Bo Nix and the Ducks want the Pac-12 Championship, but the College Football Playoff looks unlikely.

via@pac12

Oregon enters Corvallis with a record of 9-2. With two losses, it’s going to be tough to see the CFP even with a win in the Pac-12 Championship. They aren’t done yet, but the Ducks are running out of roads there.

Head below for our Oregon vs. Oregon State best bets and betting pick in the Civil War on November 26, 2022.

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Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers Live Betting Odds:

Oregon vs Oregon State Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
TeamsSpreadMoneylineTotal
Oregon Ducks-3 (-110)-150Over 58.5 (-110)
Oregon St. Beavers+3 (-110)+130Under 58.5 (-110)
Team DataOregon DucksOregon St. Beavers
Overall Record9-28-3
ATS Record8-3-09-2-0
Away/Home Record4-04-1
ATS Away/Home3-1-05-0-0
Yards Per Game511.2406.7
Yards Against Per Game391.4330.6
Passing Yards Per Game288.3213.2
Rushing Yards Per Game222.9193.5

Oregon vs. Oregon State Predictions

Oregon and Oregon State have both been good college football bets this season. The Ducks are 8-3 against the spread, while the Beavers have a strong ATS record of 9-2. If you blindly tailed these two Oregon schools all season, you would have had a very good season.

The Ducks have beaten the closing line in six of their previous seven attempts. Meanwhile, the Beavers have covered the spread in five straight games. Something will have to give in Corvallis on Saturday afternoon.

Just be careful backing Oregon with the only reasoning being they have to win. Do you think Oregon State is going to lay down in this rivalry game? Especially not with a chance to end the Ducks Pac-12 Championship bid.

Beavers’ Defense Sneaky Good

Oregon State is a better defense than they usually get credit for in the Pac-12. The run stoppers in the box have done well in particular. They are 19th in the FBS with 111.4 yards allowed per game against the run.

Overall, the Beavers are 25th in the nation on defense. Going into the Civil War, Oregon State has given up 330.6 yards per game this season. They’ve had to face some pretty high-powered offenses, as well.

NO ONE HANDLED USC THIS WELL
The Beavers were one of the only teams this season to be able to contain hold Caleb Williams and the Trojans down. Williams passed for just 180 yards in a 17-14 win in Corvallis on September 24.

Oregon State were extra motivated to play that game. This is the same scenario against the Ducks on Saturday afternoon. Expect the Beavers to be well-prepared and willing participants against the Ducks.

Nix has been impressive for the Ducks this season. However, it would not be all that surprising to see him get frustrated by the Beavers.

Nix is coming off a pedestrian performance against Utah, with 287 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. With the pro-Oregon State crowd behind the Beavers, Nix will not be perfect.

Where Is The Secondary?

Everything has gone pretty well for the Ducks this season, but their secondary has gotten lost at times. Oregon is 122nd in the country, allowing an average of 278.8 yards per game through the air.

There aren’t many Power Five teams that are worse than Oregon against the pass. They showed up big against Utah last week, but something was really off with Cameron Rising. He was not reading the field properly at all.

Redshirt freshman Oregon State QB, Ben Gulbranson, is not a gunslinger, but he continues to gain more confidence with each passing week. The first-year starter has passed for 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 63.2% completions.


Oregon vs. Oregon State Betting Pick:

Gulbranson continues to put up better numbers from earlier in the season. Everything may come full circle for him in the Civil War at him. The attention will be on Nix, but it might actually be Gulbranson that comes through in the clutch.

He hasn’t thrown an interception since October 15 against the Washington State Cougars. Gulbranson has passed for 5 touchdowns and no interceptions since then. Through his last two starts, Gulbarnson has thrown for 325 yards and 3 touchdowns on better than 65% passing.

via@pac12

Gulbranson has not been depended on to do it all with Damien Martinez in the backfield. Martinez has gained 867 yards and 7 touchdowns on 6.1 yards per carry. The freshman is in for a big career with the Beavers, and expect him to have a coming out party on Saturday.

For our Oregon vs. Oregon State prediction, we have a final score of 33-31 in Corvallis.

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Oregon vs. Oregon State Best Bet
OREGON ST. BEAVERS +3
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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