Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 17 MNF Betting Pick – January 2

A marquee matchup for AFC supremacy will close out a loaded Week 17 slate on Monday Night Football, as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills head to Cincinnati to take on Joe Burrow and the red-hot Bengals.

With the Bills entering at 12-3, and Cincinnati countering with an impressive 11-4 record, both of these sides are very much pining for homefield advantage in what should be a competitive AFC playoff picture later this month.

It is also worth mentioning that this is the first-ever matchup that pits Allen against Burrow, undoubtedly two of the top talents at the QB position in the league right now. With the offenses on display, and the sheer amount of talent that both squads possess, this game should make for quite the clash in a primetime spot.

With both Buffalo and the Bengals gunning for the coveted top-spot in the AFC, this Week 17 encounter will certainly be worth the watch. The Bengals have gotten red-hot at the right time, and have been nearly unbeatable at home. Add in the fact that Cincy enters with a 20-3 against the spread mark over their past 23 contests, and the aura surrounding Joe Burrow and his talented offense only grows. Can they keep it up against a stingy Buffalo defense and one of the best teams in the NFL? Read on to find out! For further insight on this battle between two surging squads, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for a full matchup preview, trends, and the latest information to help you make an informed decision for Week 17’s Monday nighter!

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

SPREAD-1.5 (-105)+1.5 (-115)
TOTALOver 49.5 (-110)Under 49.5 (-110)
Overall Record12-311-4
ATS Record7-7-1-012-3-0
Home/Away Record5-25-2
Points Per Game28.326.3
Points Against Per Game17.620.9
Passing Yards Per Game259.8269.2
Rushing Yards Per Game142.298.9

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

The Bengals’ offense has gotten red-hot, and at the precisely right moment. After a sluggish start to their season, Joe Burrow has reminded fans and bettors alike, that this offense can simply dominate – when it wants to.

Burrow has torched defenses in recent weeks, and remains the top QB in the entire league when passing against the blitz. That could be problematic for Buffalo on Monday evening, as the Bills have struggled to generate organic pressure from their defensive line without Von Miller. As a result, they’ve had to send help quite regularly to get pressure on opposing passers, and this could play right into the hands of Burrow and this Bengals’ attack.

Without a consistent pass rush, Joe Burrow is going to have time and space to operate from the pocket. Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase remain an elite duo that can consistently defeat any secondary, and with recent issues plaguing the Buffalo defensive backfield, look for Cincy to have little issue moving the chains on Monday night.

For the Bills, they’re dealing with some pretty key offensive line issues and uncertainty as they prepare to enter Week 17. With such turmoil in front of Josh Allen, it remains quite unlikely that Josh Allen will be passing out of clean pockets across all four quarters. Unlike Burrow, Josh Allen has made some questionable decisions when passing of late – and is still prone to issues when getting hurried or pressured. Allen is obviously awesome and can bail out the Bills’ attack with his legs, though Cincinnati has been particularly stingy at stifling rushing quarterbacks.

With their patented passing game in doubt, Buffalo might look to more running options come Monday evening. They’ve found quite the revelation in rookie back James Cook, and he has put together some impressive outings of late. Will he find that same success against the CIncy defensive front though? It’s unlikely given how good the Bengals have been lately at clamping down on the ground attack, especially ever since their defensive line returned to full health and strength.

Bills vs. Bengals Trends To Know:

  • Joe Burrow is 31-11 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown.
  • Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in January.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Given Cincinnati’s current form, it seems wild that they’re home underdogs to anybody right now. Both their offensive and defensive units are clicking, and despite losing La’el Collins last week to injury – their offensive line has still been elite when it comes to protecting Joe Burrow. The Buffalo secondary has some lingering questions, and Jordan Poyer seems to be a true game-time decision. Backing the Bengals seems to be the smart play for Monday night.

Our Pick
Bengals +1.5
About the Author
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Will Salvarinas
Content Writer
Blog and News
Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist providing top-notch analysis on the World Cup and European Championships. Over the years, he’s expanded his coverage to include other major sports like the NFL, NHL and MLB. As an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, Salvarinas is always eager to share his insight or get into a healthy debate over what bets to make.

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