Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Pick Week 16 – December 25





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Christmas Day NFL and if the NBA isn’t your thing, there’s a fascinating slate of three pro football games to indulge in on this festive day!

The proceedings will kick off with the Miami Dolphins taking on the Green Bay Packers in what should be a thrilling affair, with both teams having a ton to play for in Week 16. The Dolphins will look to move to 9-6 on the season, and further enhance their claim on a playoff spot in a competitive AFC.

For the Packers, they’ve played well below expectations here in 2022, but at 6-8, there remains an outside shot that they too could get into the playoffs in a mediocre NFC. Green Bay’s offense has gotten hot at the right time, and with both Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson as rookie sensations downfield, Aaron Rodgers once again has targets. Will this revelation be too late to salvage their season? We will see what the hometown Dolphins have to say about this.

With all that is on the line in Week 16, this clash figures to be a thrilling one. Tua Tagavailoa has looked rejuvenated with a new outlook under new coach Mike McDaniel in Miami, and can still get into the post-season. Meanwhile, the Packers must win if they want any shot at qualifying for the playoffs. All of this should make for a thrilling battle between two exciting teams. For further insight on this must-see clash, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for a full matchup preview, trends, and the latest information to help you make an informed decision for Week 16’s Packers vs. Dolphins early window showdown!

Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

SPREAD+3.5 (-110)-3.5 (-110)
TOTALOver 49.5 (-110)Under 49.5 (-110)
Overall Record6-88-6
ATS Record6-8-06-7-1
Home/Away Record3-45-2
Points Per Game20.324.3
Points Against Per Game22.024.7
Passing Yards Per Game219.8279.2
Rushing Yards Per Game126.296.9

Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction

While it has been a dismal season this year for Green Bay, the Packers are starting to show some signs of life – on both sides of the football. Aaron Rodgers has been hurt and without help for much of 2022, but on Monday night this offense showed its true potential. They dominated the second half vs. the LA Rams, and moved the chains with ease, both on the ground, and especially through the air. With rookies Doubs & Watson in the fold, this Packers’ aerial attack has been excellent within a limited sample size.

Miami is equally porous against good passing attacks, and will get beat through the air. Aaron Rodgers is going to have time and space to operate from the pocket, and without pressure, Rodgers should be ready to carve this Miami secondary. The Dolphins are better against the run, but both AJ Dillon and Aaron Jones can be useful receivers, and that elusive tandem is worth keeping an eye on for huge plays.

The Dolphins should be able to keep pace however, and this game promises to be a bit of a shootout, as neither defense projects to get many stops. Miami should be able to go up and down the field on a Green Bay stop unit ranked 31st in adjusted EPA. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle won’t be able to get stopped, and while the Packers figure to get some pressure on Tua Tagavailoa, it won’t be enough to disrupt his rhythm right now.

Packers vs. Dolphins Trends To Know:

  • Dolphins are 26-43 ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003.
  • Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Both of these teams enter in fine form on offense, and come in with huge defensive question marks. Expect a ton of passing as that’s what both QB’s do best, and with Rodgers healthy and him finally meshing with his receivers – the Packers should be able to play to their potential and keep pace with the high-octane Dolphins. Expect a shootout on Christmas Day in South Beach!

Our Pick
Over 49.5
About the Author
Will Salvarinas profile picture
Will Salvarinas
Content Writer
Blog and News
Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist providing top-notch analysis on the World Cup and European Championships. Over the years, he’s expanded his coverage to include other major sports like the NFL, NHL and MLB. As an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, Salvarinas is always eager to share his insight or get into a healthy debate over what bets to make.

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