Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Pick Week 18 – January 7

A marquee matchup for AFC South supremacy will feature prominently on Saturday night as the Jacksonville Jaguars play the Tennessee Titans for the divisional title, and playoff spot. It’s pretty simple what is at stake down in Florida – win, and you’re in.

And though the Jaguars began this campaign 3-7, they’ve gone 5-1 ever since, and have been solid on both sides of the football. Trevor Lawrence has started to figure the NFL out, and can beat secondaries with ease right now. He’s boosted by a talented receiving corps, and a resurgence from Evan Engram at tight end.

For the Titans, they’ve come back down to Earth a bit in recent weeks, and injuries have very much allowed the Jags back in the hunt for the divisional title. Ryan Tannehill was hurt, and Malik Willis wasn’t all that great. And now in comes Josh Dobbs, the journeyman QB to try and save the day. Dobbs wasn’t all that great in Week 17, though Mike Vrabel will be hoping that added familiarity will lead to increased success in this pivotal showdown for the Titans. Jacksonville’s defense has steadily improved all season long, and it’ll be intriguing to see if Dobbs can move the chains on Saturday night.

With both these divisional rivals gunning for the coveted top-spot in the AFC South, this Week 18 encounter will certainly be worth the watch. The Jags have gotten red-hot at the right time, and have been nearly unbeatable at home. Trevor Lawrence has arrived, and his offensive onslaught is nothing to scoff at. Can they keep it up against a stingy Titans defense and one of the most organized teams in the NFL? Read on to find out! For further insight on this battle between two surging squads, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for a full matchup preview, trends, and the latest information to help you make an informed decision for Week 18’s crucial showdown!

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

SPREAD+6.5 (-110)-6.5 (-110)
TOTALOver 39.5 (-110)Under 39.5 (-110)
Overall Record7-98-8
ATS Record8-7-18-8-0
Home/Away Record4-45-3
Points Per Game17.324.3
Points Against Per Game21.620.9
Passing Yards Per Game179.8239.2
Rushing Yards Per Game122.2131.9

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

This Jacksonville offense has gotten hot at precisely the right moment, and will look to put on another offensive showing in the biggest game of their season. For many years now, this franchise has been looked upon as a laughing stock, but with Trevor Lawrence at the helm, the Jags are very much a young team, on the upswing. They can solidify their playoff spot with a win at home on Saturday night.

But it won’t be easy with a pesky Titans squad that has been here and done this many times before. And while the Titans are banged-up along their offensive line, key running back Derrick Henry is still going to feast on the Jacksonville run defense. This unit has been porous at key stretches throughout this season, and Henry remains one of the game’s best at keeping the chains moving, and plowing through run defenses.

Josh Dobbs has also shown to be serviceable, and did alright considering the tough circumstances last week against a much better Dallas stop unit. The Jags don’t boast much of a pass rush, and if Dobbs has time, he’s emerged as a solid dual-threat option that can secure first downs either through the air, or with his legs. There also is not much film on him, so many of the Jags’ preparations for Dobbs would have surely been thwarted in the lead-up. Add in the fact that Jacksonville’s back seven within their secondary hasn’t been great, and big openings are there to be had through the air.

For Jacksonville, their starters played most of the first three quarters last week, whereas the Titans mostly rested. While it was a relatively easy game for their offense, Saturday won’t come nearly as easy against a battle-tested Titans’ stop unit. Making matters even more complicated is that the Jags will not have their starting left tackle, Cam Robinson. Without him, Lawrence could be left exposed to a vicious Tennessee pass rush.

Lawrence fared quite well in his first outing earlier this year vs. Tennessee, but the Titans’ defense is much healthier right now. Denico Autry and Zach Cunningham are both back in the lineup, and that’s a tandem that should solidify things on the defensive end. Tennessee has always limited opposing rushers, so look for Lawrence to really have to rely on the passing game. If the Titans can limit this, the Jags might be in for a tougher-than-expected offensive evening.

Titans vs. Jaguars Trends To Know:

  • Mike Vrabel is 21-9 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points.
  • Jaguars are 12-26 ATS as home favorites since 2008.
  • Titans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
  • Jaguars are 9-16 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more since 2003.

This is a spot Mike Vrabel has thrived with the Titans in over his years as head coach. Tennessee is battle-tested and the core of this team has thrived in similar situations of late. Tennessee defensively should frustrate Trevor Lawrence on Saturday, and it’s tough to count on Jacksonville’s defensive group to effectively stifle Derrick Henry. Back the Titans to keep this one very close.

Our Pick
Titans +6.5
About the Author
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Will Salvarinas
Content Writer
Blog and News
Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist providing top-notch analysis on the World Cup and European Championships. Over the years, he’s expanded his coverage to include other major sports like the NFL, NHL and MLB. As an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, Salvarinas is always eager to share his insight or get into a healthy debate over what bets to make.

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