AC Milan vs. AS Roma Pick – Serie A October 26, 2020

The 2020-21 Serie A campaign continues in Italy on Monday night in Milan at San Siro. There is only one match on the schedule, as AC Milan hosts AS Roma in Serie A play. Juventus are looking to defend their Serie A title, yet again, but this might be their biggest challenge in a long time.

Cristiano Ronaldo tested positive for Covid-19 two weeks ago and is still out of the lineup for Juventus. Ronaldo is currently under investigation for breaking protocol, and I don’t believe Serie A would go lightly on him if he breached anything. Major sports in the US might protect their superstars, though Serie A likely won’t bow down to Ronaldo.

Juventus don’t want to hear any more bad news. They’re struggling at the start of this 2020-21 campaign and need some good news. Juventus are 2-3-0, with three draws and two wins. The season is young, though, and jumping to conclusions too early is always a foolish mistake. I don’t have as much faith in Lazio, who have just been out of sorts since returning from the lockdown. It’s been a hard fall for Lazio. They’re 2-1-2 following a 2-1 on Saturday in Matchday 5.

AC Milan are coming off a 3-1 win over Celtic in Europa League play on Thursday. In their most recent Serie A performance on October 17, AC Milan was in terrific form against rival Inter Milan. Inter Milan are a fine club, but AC were able to impose their will for a 2-1 win on the road. They head into Monday atop the ladder in Serie A with a record of 4-0-0.

The only formidable opponent they’ve played thus far in the 2020-21 campaign is Inter Milan, though. That was an impressive win, and if they can continue to do it against quality clubs then people will begin to take note of AC Milan. Zlatan will look to stay hot on Monday after scoring two quick goals against Inter Milan. He scored at the 13 and 16 minute mark for both of AC Milan’s goals. Head below for our free AC Milan vs. AS Roma pick for October 26, 2020.

AC Milan vs. AS Roma Serie A Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • AC Milan -0.5 (+100)
  • AS Roma +0.5 (-120)
Moneyline:

  • AC Milan (-105)
  • AS Roma (+194)
  • Draw (+229)
Total:

  • Over 3 (+100)
  • Under 3 (-120)

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AC Milan vs. AS Roma Prediction:

The offence has been flying around the pitch for AC Milan recently. They’ve scored at least 2 goals in at least 14 straight matches dating back to July and in 22 of their last 23. Of all clubs, the last time they scored fewer than 2 goals was on July 24 against Atalanta in a 1-1 draw. That promised to be a high-scoring match, but neither side capitalized on their chances.

However, since then, AC Milan has been making the most of it when they’re on the attack. Since July 29, AC Milan has averaged 3 goals per match. Roma knows they must be on the top of their game defensively if they’re going to compete in this one. They’ve done an okay job containing inferior opponents, but better clubs have had their way against Roma’s defence.

Juventus, Benevento, Verona, Cagliari, Sevilla, and Torino have all netted at least 2 goals against Roma since the end of July. Holding a poor Udinese offence to no goals isn’t particularly impressive, and that’s been the highlight for them on defence over the last few months.

I suspect that AC Milan can do some damage against Roma here, though Roma should provide a nice counter. With distractions behind Edin Dzeko due to transfer rumours, Dzeko finally got on track with two goals at the 35 and 77 minute mark in a 5-2 win over Benevento on October 18 in their last Serie A match.

If Dzeko is playing well, everything else seems to fall into place for Roma. Since September 5, Roma has averaged 2.5 goals per match. To keep pace with Milan, they’re going to have to force the issue and take some risks. I could see a high-scoring match to put this one OVER the total on Monday night in Milan at San Siro.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.