Arsenal vs. Burnley Pick – EPL Gameweek 2 – Aug. 17

Following a successful Gameweek 1 of Premier League action, we’re back at it again with a full slate of EPL action to cover for you.

Last week was thrilling, and as is usually the case – full of surprises. One of those surprise squads, Burnley, will kick things off for us early Saturday morning to get Week 2 going. Burnley were largely seen as a potential fit for relegation, though a 4-0 drubbing of Southampton last week left many scratching their heads. A side not often associated with offense looked to be firing on all cylinders, though their quest will get tougher in their second game.

They’ll be travelling to north London to do battle with an improved and supremely talented Arsenal side. Though questions still remain about Unai Emery’s commitment to defensive football, their attack is one of the best in Europe and it should really test a normally stingy Burnley side.

This should be a great matchup as it pits the heralded attack of the Gunners against a battle-hungry and pesky Burnley group. Read on below the odds as we give a tactical preview and betting prediction in this battle of unbeaten sides.

Arsenal vs. Burnley Betting Odds:

Arsenal (-303)
Burnley (+775)
Draw (+390)

Over 3 (-101)
Under 3 (-109)

Arsenal vs. Burnley Pick:

Arsenal will be eager to get back home following a miserable setting last week in northern England. They play well at Emirates Stadium, and following a mostly successful off-season, their fans are sure to be in good voice and support against Burnley.

There are some fitness concerns for Arsenal as Hector Bellerin remains out with a knee injury. Coach Unai Emery believes Bellerin will be back in mid-September, but until that point, there are still many questions that can be asked of the Arsenal back-line.

Fortunately for Arsenal, Burnley aren’t really the squad to truly test them. Despite their offensive onslaught last week vs. Southampton, most of that was the byproduct of some fortunate bounces and misplays by the Saints’ defense. Burnley likely possess the least attacking talent of all twenty sides within the Premier League, and instead focus their efforts on their play without the ball.

Burnley haven’t beaten Arsenal since 1974, and expect that trend to continue on Saturday morning. The Gunners are the clear favourites and should win comfortably, but as of right now there isn’t much value on the straight moneyline market. If your book offers a -1 handicap line, that is a much savvier play.

Expect Arsenal to control the match, with constant pressure being applied in the middle and on the flanks of the pitch. New signing Pepe will surely be flying in his Arsenal kit and will be eager to have a good showing. Burnley just doesn’t have the depth or personnel to limit the quality and skill of the new-look Gunners for 90 consecutive minutes, and will be vulnerable to one or two breakdowns.

Burnley will travel to London looking for a point – but that style will ultimately leave them with none. While the Gunners will score, Burnley remain a proud defensive group and Sean Dyche’s men will not quit. Expect Arsenal to win this match comfortably, something along the lines of a 2-0 score-line. Burnley are too stout to concede more, and too poor on attack to break through the Arsenal defense. For those reasons, look for the value play on Under 3 goals.

My Pick
UNDER 3
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.