Arsenal vs. Man City – EFL Cup Pick – December 22

Though it has most certainly been a very down year for Arsenal so far this season, the EFL or Carabao Cup gives them the opportunity to secure some hardware, and build some momentum.

It will not come easy Tuesday afternoon though as Manchester City will be standing in their way, always eager to win trophies. Manager Pep Guardiola’s side hasn’t fared too well so far in domestic competition, and by all accounts they’ll be approaching this game with a full-lineup and maximum intensity.

Given Arsenal’s recent poor play and awful run of form, it’s dire right now surrounding their club. In the past week alone, countless relegation-themed articles have been printed surrounding the Gunners, and with the pressure on mid-week, we’ll see what Arsenal has in store. Slightly different competition, but the same desperation exists for both of these underperforming clubs. Read on beneath the posted odds for team news, a tactical analysis, and a betting prediction for the Gunners vs. Man City in the EFL Cup quarter-finals.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City Betting Odds:

Arsenal (+360)
Man City (-145)
Draw (+250)

Over 3 (+100)
Under 3 (-120)

*Betting odds provided by

Arsenal vs. Manchester City Pick:

Expect Arsenal to go back to their traditional 4-3-3 formation for this clash vs. Man City. While there exists a lot of flexibility and pace within the side, they continue to struggle to mesh both offensively and defensively. There isn’t enough quality at the back, while up front the Gunners are likely going to be without leading scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. In a one-game elimination format, that’s tough news.

Man City meanwhile enters with a full-strength lineup and no fresh injury concerns for Guardiola. It is believed that City will have some subtle squad rotation, but many stars will be in the lineup as this is a tournament that many feel Guardiola needs to win given the quality of his group.

The Citizens will likely go with a 4-2-3-1 formation, to maximize the pressure they can put on Arsenal’s weak back-three. Raheem Sterling will lead the line, with the talented Belgian Kevin de Bruyne threading the needle on dangerous passes from behind. The pace of the English striker should be noticeable against Arsenal’s plodding defense. Expect City to dominate possession and control this match. They also hold a huge edge in the midfield, and that should allow them to dictate the tempo and flow of this match.

There is likely just far too much quality for Arsenal to overcome on Tuesday afternoon, as what City can offer far exceeds Arsenal’s best outing. The pressure is firmly on manager Mikel Arteta to right this sinking ship, just a year into his tenure as coach. But given the fact that they’re without a victory in their last seven domestic contests, going against an offensive juggernaut keen to add to the Gunners’ woes – seems like a bad idea. Wait for squad news, but expect City in a rout.

My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.