Bayern Munich vs. Lokomotiv Moscow Pick – Champions League December 9, 2020

In the final matchday of the first round of the Champions League, the group stage will feature eight more matches on Wednesday. There wasn’t much exciting going on Tuesday. Chelsea was not interested in playing against Krasnodar, though they didn’t need to with their group already secure. The most anticipated match of the day between Barcelona and Juventus resulted in a 3-0 win for Juve.

The game had no impact on the next round. Barcelona and Juventus were already locked in to go to the knockout stage. In other words, it was a battle between clubs who had more motivation. Juventus apparently wanted to play, while Barca slept walk. That was the case for pretty well every match on Tuesday. The picture was already clear, as clubs knew what their fate was before going into the matches.

Chelsea could have beaten Krasnodar if they wanted to, but didn’t seem motivated. All Lazio needed was a point and they got that with a draw. More of the same is going to be the same for the Wednesday slate. I wouldn’t go too big on any of these matches today. Of course if you have a really good read on something, then by all means. A good read in these kinds of matches involves knowing how motivated managers and clubs are to play, much like a friendly.

In our first match of the day in the Champions League, we’re taking a look at Bayern Munich and Lokomotiv Moscow on Wednesday. Bayern Munich has nothing to play for in the sixth and final matchday of the group stage. They are in clear control of Group A with a record of 4-1-0 and 13 points. Atletico Madrid is hanging onto second with a record of 1-3-1 and 6 points.

That’s where things are going to get interesting in Group A. If Red Bull Salzburg beats Atletico Madrid today, they will leapfrog them for the final spot and advantage to the knockout stage. As far as Moscow is concerned, they’re out of the Champions League. They enter Wednesday with a mark of 0-3-2 and 3 points. Three draws is what they’ve had to show for their time in the Champions League, and a win today looks extremely unlikely. Head below for our free Bayern Munich vs. Lokomotiv Moscow pick for December 9, 2020.

Bayern Munich vs. Lokomotiv Moscow Champions League Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Bayern -1.5, -2 (-118)
  • Moscow +1.5, +2 (-102)
Moneyline:

  • Bayern -400
  • Moscow +800
  • Draw +520
Total:

  • Over 3.5, 4 (+100)
  • Under 3.5, 4 (-120)

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Bayern Munich vs. Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction:

Bayern Munich could lose 5-0 on Wednesday and it wouldn’t matter. They are going to the knockout stage regardless. No, Bayern are not going to lose 5-0 today, and it would be an upset even if they draw on Wednesday. That said, Bayern are likely going to mix up their lineup today. They did the same against Atletico Madrid on the fifth matchday of the first round. Bayern experimented a bit and came out of it with a 1-1 draw in Spain.

A total of nine alterations were made to the lineup for Bayern against Atletico. Expect Bayern to do the same in this match. That match didn’t mean much to Bayern against Atletico, nor does this match on Wednesday versus Lokomotiv Moscow. This is the second time these two clubs meet. In the first clash, Bayern were 2-1 winners on October 27. It was a hard-fought match by Lokomotiv, who outshot Bayern in that one actually. Lokomotiv put 6 shots on target compared to 5 for Bayern.

That was just about as perfect a form as Lokomotiv is going to get and they still lost. With Bayern likely changing up their lineup again on Wednesday, it could signal an upset big for Lokomotiv, but it’s hard to see that transpiring in Germany on Wednesday. Midfielder Daniil Kulikov is not going to participate today for Lokomotiv after testing positive for Covid-19. I expect Bayern to take the lead in this one and sit on it. Motivation to blowout Lokomotiv likely isn’t high in this one. The total looks a bit too high.

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UNDER 3.5, 4
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.