Bayern Munich vs. Paris Saint-Germain UEFA Champions League QF Pick – April 13

The UEFA Champions League resumes on TUesday afternoon with the second legs of last week’s quarter-final showdowns.

Undoubtedly the marquee matchup of the final 8 was the encounter between Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich, one which saw the French side escape Munich with a narrow 3-2 victory. That firmly puts PSG into complete control as they look to reach yet another semi-final.

For Bayern, despite their talent, they seemingly couldn’t overcome key absences last week against PSG. Their midfield struggled without Serge Gnabry, and their finishing lacked prowess without talented Polish striker Robert Lewandowski. It’ll be up to manager Hansi Flick to devise a creative gameplan that sees the Bayern side head to Paris and leave with a victory – as that’s what is needed to overturn last week’s result.

It will be intriguing to see PSG’s tactics for this contest, as a draw or a low-scoring one-goal loss will see them through to the next round. Bayern will need to push hard however, and that should provide for a fascinating encounter. As always, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for further betting analysis, team news, and a winning prediction for Tuesday’s Champions League showdown. Enjoy!

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Betting Odds:

PSG (+200)
Bayern Munich (+115)
Draw (+330)

Over 3.5 (-125)
Under 3.5 (+105)

*Betting odds provided by

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Pick:

Don’t expect too many changes from Mauricio Pocchetino’s PSG side. The manager rested some key pieces over the weekend in Ligue 1, to ensure they’ll be ready for this big Bayern Munich push. Look for a 4-2-3-1 formation from the French side, and don’t be surprised if we see a very similar tactical approach from the Parisians as we saw last week in Germany. This is a side built to run, and built to push for goals. That will be the focus from the outset for PSG, as they look to pile on goals to make Bayern’s push all the more difficult.

One area of weakness for PSG continues to be in their holding midfield. Without some key pieces, it’ll again be up to Leandro Paredes and Idrissa Gueye to play crucial roles at keeping the Bayern attack in check. They showed flashes of this last week, but will need to be even better on Tuesday, as the Bavarians will continually push for offense given the situation.

For Bayern, they too can’t really make too many changes to their lineups or tactics, as key pieces to their attack remain out. Gnabry, Lewandowski, and Leon Goretzka are all going to miss out on Tuesday’s quarter-final clash, and beyond the creative trio of Kingsley Coman, Leroy Sane, and Thomas Muller – it’s hard to see where else goals and offense can come from.

Bayern might go all-out and push for offense, regularly activating their talented fullbacks in Pavard and Davies – but that could play into a well set-up and structured PSG side. If Bayern were at all full strength, I’d fancy them to turn this result over, but without consistent scorers up top – expect a lot of possession and action from the German giants, but frustration in the final third.

PSG will be ready and waiting for Bayern’s desperation, and that should play into their hands. With the likes of Kylian Mbappe and Neymar up top, that pace is tough to match for Bayern’s holding midfielders, or the right side of their defense. As a result, expect PSG to be lethal on the counter, pouncing on Bayern’s attacking woes. Expect PSG to escape with yet another victory in this scintillating tie, en route to a berth in the semis.

My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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