The battle for London supremacy goes on with another hectic matchup coming on Tuesday. Chelsea vs. Arsenal is the fixture I’m referring to, scheduled for Tuesday evening CET time, and promising a tight contest from start to finish. Of course, our Chelsea vs. Arsenal betting predictions are here to shed light on the matchup and try to get the greatest value for you guys.
Of course, everyone interested in soccer betting already has his eyes set on this matchup. Premier League, even though the title run is almost up, is still among the most interesting soccer leagues to bet on, and often holds the greatest value.
And that’s exactly what we’ll be covering in our Chelsea vs. Arsenal betting predictions! We’ll try to find the greatest value after comprehensively analyzing both sides, their key players, and tactical approaches.
Yep, there’s plenty of stuff ahead of us, so we might as well kick it off!
Lampard Needs a Home Win
Chelsea got just six points out of their last five fixtures played on Stamford Bridge. Now that their fiercest city rival, Arsenal, is coming, Lampard’s boys will have to go all-in for a win. And it’s not just to improve their overall home record but to inch closer to third-placed Leicester and away from the fifth-place Manchester United.
Need I remind you, Chelsea is currently at the fourth Premier League spot, which is the final spot leading to Champions League. There’s still a ton of matches to go, but if Chelsea wins on Tuesday, they’ll be the front-runners for another Champions League run. Arsenal, on the other hand, seems far unlikely to succeed after failing last time out too. Don’t even get me started on how Arsenal lost the Champions League this season after losing against Chelsea in the Europa League finals.
Form-wise, Chelsea’s 2020 hasn’t kicked off on the right foot. In three matches thus far, Lampard’s men got just four points. It’s not the end of the world, I know, but they’ll definitely have to step their game up if they want to contest for a Champions League spot.
Tammy Abraham is still Chelsea’s main striker, netting thirteen goals thus far and establishing himself as one of the best Premier League strikers this season. Mason Mount and Christian Pulisic have scored a few too, both sitting at five goals thus far. Willian is the best assistant with four in the basket, further proving just how much experience means in a winger role.
Stepping away from the stats, the two men we have to point out are Jorginho and Mateo Kovacic. Even though the 28-year-old Italian international seems to be under heavy criticism, he’s still displaying fine shows under Lampard.
I’d like to make a follow-up regarding Chelsea’s back four too, but that’s something I can’t do considering the number of goals they’ve conceded thus far. Thirty goals in twenty-three matches – that’s way too much for Chelsea’s standards…
Whether we’re talking about attack-minded 4-3-3 or a more defensively adept 4-2-3-1, we have to admit Lampard’s Chelsea is looking strong. Yes, the defensive end hasn’t been up to their usual standards. If it was, I reckon Lampard’s boys would be right beneath Manchester City and Liverpool at this point in the title race.
Despite a lot of criticism, Lampard ought to keep his managerial spot at Chelsea till the end of the season; unless his side loses the grip and with it the Champions League finish.
Arsenal Sinking Deeper
Moving on with our Chelsea vs. Arsenal betting prediction, let’s talk a bit about the Gunners. For starters, let’s address the crucial narrative in the red side of north London – Arteta’s first few games and his overall ability (or the lack thereof) to lead Arsenal.
It’s the sad reality the Gunners will have to come to terms with in order to improve. The way Arteta’s men have been playing thus far (since his arrival), Gunners can be happy with a Europa League finish. Anything above that seems like science fiction at the moment.
And it’s quite surprising, to be honest, seeing Arteta continue his slump after an impressive 2-0 win against Manchester United. To put things into perspective, Arsenal has more goals conceded than scored. We’re talking thirty scored and thirty-two conceded.
Coming into this match with such poor stats (even more conceded goals than Chelsea), makes me think Arteta’s men will have yet another round of spanking.
Nothing says “goalscoring machine” as much as the golden Gabon boy, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. In twenty-two Premier League appearances this season, Aubameyang scored fourteen goals and added one assist to his tally. His forward colleague, Alexandre Lacazette, on the other hand, has five goals and two assists, although from sixteen appearances.
As mentioned earlier, Arsenal’s defensive end has a lot of work on their hands. David Luiz, Sokratis, and the company need to be more consistent in their defensive struggles. They can be an impenetrable wall for a few matches, but then they’ll have the same number of matches packed with outright ridiculous mistakes. A proper defensive-minded player would effectively boost Arsenal’s chances of snatching a spot leading to European competitions next season. It would be money well spent, that’s for sure!
The 37-year-old former Arsenal star, Mikel Arteta, took the job on December 20th, and has already gone through a proper baptism by fire. The first time he met with Lampard on the other end, his side suffered through a nasty comeback near the final whistle.
This time around, Arteta will have to motivate his players even further. And it won’t be easy, not just because Chelsea is in a slightly better form but also because of the electric Stamford Bridge atmosphere that’s unwelcoming towards their north London neighbors.
As for the tactical approach, I wouldn’t be surprised if Arteta goes with a more defensive lineup in search of that much-needed draw. I’m not saying the Spaniard won’t attack; I just think we’ll see Arsenal in an unconventional, counter-attacking deployment. That might actually be the only way Arsenal’s shaky defense prevents another catastrophe.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal Betting Predictions
Now that we’ve taken a closer look at both teams, it’s time to wrap our Chelsea vs. Arsenal betting predictions up with a few fact-driven picks!
For starters, there’s no way Arteta’s men make another surprise like the one against Manchester United. Too much stuff aligned perfectly in Arsenal’s favor that night, and chances of it happening again on Stamford Bridge are next to nothing.
In other words, the safest bet (read not the greatest value) for this matchup would be double chance on Chelsea or draw. Experienced Premier League betting enthusiasts know the probability of draws in these London derbies, which makes me think another one wouldn’t be that surprising at all. The odds are pretty low, though, sitting at -450 on BetWay.
Then again, Chelsea is a much better attacking side, having scored 39 goals thus far. What’s another one or two for the likes of Christian Pulisic and Tammy Abraham, especially knowing Arsenal’s shaky defense. If Chelsea scores a fast goal, Arteta’s men will have to make a different, more attack-minded approach for the remainder of the game. Needless to say, that could open up even more space on their defensive end.
Three of the last four head to head matches between these two London-based teams ended in Chelsea’s favor. Also, three out of the last four matches ended with both teams scoring. Do you know where I’m going with this?
I’m talking both teams to score and total goals here. The risk-free bet – Both teams to score and total goals over 2.5 at +100. We can even approach it a bit differently, with the following combo:
Knowing the defensive-end woes of both teams, both to score seems like a no-brainer. Unfortunately, on its own, it’s not the greatest deal. However, when combined with Chelsea to Win or Draw (AKA double chance 1X) , we’re looking at +100, which is great value in my books. Great value indeed…