Crystal Palace vs. Brighton EPL Pick – February 22

Monday afternoon will see Gameweek 25 come to a close with one of England’s most-intense, yet lesser known rivalries. It will be Eagles vs. the Seagulls, as Crystal Palace heads south to take on Brighton from the AMEX Stadium.

After a hot start to their campaign, injuries to key players have ravaged Palace and manager Roy Hodgson. They simply lack the required amount of depth to compete when their stars are sidelined, and there’s been a ton of evidence of that in recent weeks. Crystal Palace have lost five of their past eight, and if they can’t pull themselves out of this slump shortly – a relegation battle awaits.

For Brighton, they’ve bounced back nicely after a dull start to their campaign. Manager Graham Potter has the Seagulls soaring in recent weeks, going undefeated in their past six contests. They’ve struggled in this rivalry of late, so you better believe Brighton and their fans will be seeking a reversal of fortunes to close out Gameweek 25.

Though there won’t be any fans in the stands or jeering between supporters, expect this Brighton/Palace rivalry to bring out the best in both teams, and provide for a really intense fixture. A win would move Brighton ahead of Palace, while the Eagles need to start putting together results if they want to avoid a relegation fight. Continue reading on beneath the current odds for our preview and betting prediction for this big-time showdown on Monday afternoon.

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton Betting Odds:

Crystal Palace (+500)
Brighton (-135)
Draw (+265)

Over 2.5 (+120)
Under 2.5 (-140)

*Betting odds provided by BetOnline.ag

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton Pick:

With the current form of Palace, mixed in with the fact they still won’t be getting their star winger in Wilfried Zaha back – it’s tough to see the Eagles heading to the Amex Stadium and securing a positive result. This team has lacked creativity with the ball in recent weeks without Zaha, and have been porous defensively.

While Hodgson will likely make mass changes all over the pitch from their last showing against Burnley, the lack of quality depth or game-changers within their squad is becoming apparent. They struggle to generate chances when on the ball, and sit near the bottom of the league in expected goal metrics. To date, they have outperformed their statistics but regression is quickly catching up with Palace.

For Brighton, they enter with the momentum and there is good reason the number has shifted in their favour on gameday. They’ve beaten teams like Tottenham and Liverpool in recent outings, and Neal Maupay is one of the best scorers right now in the EPL. He should have a field day against Palace’s pedestrian back-line. Defensively they have been rigid and structured, and Palace likely won’t pose much of an attacking threat. In the advanced stat categories, Brighton continues to impress – boasting a positive xG differential. This is a club that is finally getting the results they deserve.

If it seems obvious who to back in this clash, it’s because it is. Brighton are the in-form club, the healthier side, and have big motivation to jump past their rivals from South London in Crystal Palace. Being without Zaha significantly reduces Palace in all facets, and the numbers indicate that as well. They’ve lost 18 of their last 20 league matches without him, and that futile record should be worsened on Monday afternoon. Take Brighton as small home favourites.

My Pick
Brighton
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.