England vs. Denmark Pick – UEFA Nations League October 14, 2020

UEFA Nations League play resumes on Wednesday with a slew of matches in multiple groups. There are 20 matches on the card today, with 18 of them taking place at the same time at 2:45 p.m. EST. If you’re looking for some afternoon action in North America or nightly plays in Europe, then there is a lot of action at your disposal on Wednesday.

Besides Italy and the Netherlands, the England and Denmark match is the most intriguing to me on Wednesday. England and Denmark play in League A Group 2, joined by Iceland and Belgium who are playing today as well.

England has bigger plans than the Nations League. The last time they won a World Cup was in 1966. England is a football hungry country, but their national club has disappointed for the last several decades. They can win in 2020, though it’s going to be a high mountain to climb. France is going to be very good again, and Brazil might be on a mission.

I would put England comfortably behind Brazil, France, and Spain. Germany? They have issues to work out between now and 2020. Right now Germany isn’t a top World Cup contender. Joachim Low has several sleepless nights ahead of him. They are coming off another draw on Tuesday after a 3-3 final against Switzerland. Switzerland scored a late goal at the 90+4 mark to make it a 3-3 match.

England are fresh off a 2-1 win over a quality Belgium club on Sunday. It was a solid 2-1 win to move to 2-1-0 in Nations League competition. They hold a 1-point advantage over Belgium in the Group 2 table. Meanwhile, Denmark goes into Wednesday with a record of 1-1-1 and 4 points They earned a 0-0 draw against England on September 8 in Denmark. The site changes to Wembley Stadium in London on Wednesday. Head below for our free England vs. Denmark pick for October 14, 2020.

England vs. Denmark UEFA Nations League Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • England -0.5, -1 (-109)
  • Denmark +0.5, +1 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • England (-137)
  • Denmark (+400)
  • Draw (+225)
Total:

  • Over 2, 2.5 (-111)
  • Under 2, 2.5 (-109)

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England vs. Denmark Prediction:

It was only a month ago that England travelled to Denmark and played to a 0-0 draw. Statistically it was a rather even game, with each club hitting the target twice and England edging Denmark out in time of possession with 54%. Pass accuracy was identical with England and Denmark connecting at a clip of 81%. England didn’t play up to their full capabilities in that match, nor did they in a 2-1 win against Belgium. I thought that England had a lot more to give in that game despite earning 3 points.

Harry Kane was used as a substitute against Belgium. England wanted to make him go through the routine of preparing for a match despite sitting out. Tottenham manager, Jose Mourinho, is strongly against him playing tonight as well, naturally. Gareth Southgate noted recently that Kane is 100% healthy at the moment, so the Tottenham striker should be available to start for England on Wednesday evening. That would likely give England just enough firepower to play better than they did in Denmark last month.

Denmark are coming off a commanding 3-0 win over Iceland on Sunday. That was fully expected against an inferior foe in Iceland. Denmark controlled the time of possession with 67% against 33% for Iceland. They may have looked good in that one, and at home versus England last month, but this is a different test at Wembley Stadium. England has been a beast in their own backyard. In their previous 21 matches in England, the home side has won 20 of them. With Kane likely available on Wednesday night at home, expect England to edge out the visitors in this one.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.