Chelsea vs. Brighton EPL Pick – April 20

Chelsea will be looking to return to the top-four on Tuesday afternoon as they do battle with a pesky Brighton side at Stamford Bridge.

The Blues enter riding a wave of confidence, after disposing of Manchester City on the weekend in the FA Cup. Chelsea are finally playing to their potential, and new manager Thomas Tuchel has to be very pleased with the early returns. His team’s structure on defense, and creativity up front, have quickly made them one of the best sides in Europe at the moment.

Brighton meanwhile will be looking for a surprising result, but it won’t be an easy task away to Chelsea. Despite their low spot in the table, the Seagulls have generated a ton of quality chances and shots on goal. In fact, Brighton are near the top of the table in expected goals generated – but their finishing has let them down in 2021. They’re 16th entering play on Tuesday, and more poor showings could see them dragged into a relegation scare.

With both sides playing for something at opposite ends of the table, we should see some desperate football come Tuesday afternoon. Will Chelsea have enough squad rotation to avoid tired legs following their clash with Man City on Saturday, or will Brighton’s chances finally turn into actual results? It promises to be a thrilling encounter, so continue on beneath the posted odds for more insight and analysis for this EPL showdown.

Chelsea vs. Brighton Betting Odds:

Chelsea (-160)
Brighton (+525)
Draw (+280)

Over 2.5 (+115)
Under 2.5 (-135)

*Betting odds provided by

Chelsea vs. Brighton Pick:

It will be interesting to see how different Chelsea’s line-up will be from their impressive showing over the weekend vs. Man City. In that game, the Blues showed their strengths – playing to their full potential. They were solid in defense, and clinical on the counter-attack. Luckily for Chelsea, this is a squad that has spent big in past off-seasons on depth, and as a result, Tuchel should have a nice compliment of players to select from.

Expect Chelsea to line-up in their familiar 3-4-3 formation. Their three-man defense has been solid since Tuchel took over, and their play without the ball is spearheaded by midfield stalwarts N’Golo Kante and Jorginho. That impressive duo are crucial in winning balls, challenges, and distributing to skilled players up top. Expect them to bully Brighton in the middle of the pitch.

Up front is where Chelsea possess scintillating talent. Kai Havertz is finally emerging as a world-class central striker in the Premier League, while the speed and skill on his flanks of Christian Pulisic and Mason Mount will be tough for Brighton to contend with. The Blues will control the midfield, and the pace, and their front attacking trio could overwhelm the Seagulls.

Brighton have secured some positive results of late, but an in-form Chelsea side gunning for a top-four finish is still a tough challenge. Under Graham Potter, the Seagulls will look to push the pace and attack in a 3-4-3 formation of their own. That said, this could play into Chelsea’s favour, as they’re quite rigid at the back and can counter with the best clubs in the Premier League. Their central midfielders of Adam Lallana and Yves Bissouma will be overmatched in the middle of the field, and the Seagulls won’t see nearly as much of the ball as they’d like.

Despite boasting explosive offensive talent, Chelsea have scaled back to preach team culture and shape instead. They’ve seen impressive results under Tuchel, and with maximum buy-in from the players – the Blues have emerged as a force in Europe. Even on short rest, this Chelsea price is short, and with Champions League implications firmly on the line, look for the home favourites to again take care of business, securing the full three points.

My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.