Leeds vs. West Ham United Premier League Pick – March 8

The Hammers of East London will look to continue their prolific form under manager David Moyes Monday evening as they welcome Leeds United to the London Stadium.

West Ham currently enter this matchweek sitting a promising 6th in the table, chasing 4th-place Chelsea for a unique opportunity at a Champions League spot next season. No doubt, the Hammers will closely be monitoring their fixture vs. Everton just two hours earlier than this kick-off.

Leeds meanwhile have cooled off after a fascinating start to their Premier League return. The goals have dried up a bit, as teams have figured out how to best defend the pace and flair of the Leeds’ offense. Their defense remains porous however, and that is what has doomed this club of late. They sit 11th at the moment, and though they’re 12 points clear of the relegation zone, more optimism was expected at this point. They’ll be looking to bounce back Monday evening against a West Ham club that doesn’t give up much.

This match has big-time European football implications for next season, and should present us with an intriguing clash of styles as the all-out offense of Leeds will work hard to suffocate a Hammers’ side that has earned the reputation of being pretty stingy with their structure. Continue reading on beneath the current match odds, for further team news and a betting prediction, as we look to continue our winning run in EPL action!

Leeds vs. West Ham United Betting Odds:

Leeds (+255)
West Ham (+110)
Draw (+260)

Over 2.5 (-150)
Under 2.5 (+130)

*Betting odds provided by BetOnline.ag

Leeds vs. West Ham United Pick:

Despite the Hammers narrowly losing to Man City their last time out, they were unbeaten in four straight contests before then. This is a talented club, and one which has earned every bit of their improvement in 2020-21.

This is certainly not a mirage either. West Ham have been impressive all season long in both offensive and defensive expected goal metrics, and now that top striker Michail Antonio has returned to the fold, the Hammers are even more prolific when on the ball. Antonio has netted seven goals in an injury-plagued campaign, but has to be licking his lips to take on this porous Leeds United defense.

Antonio has emerged as one of the premier in-box threats within the EPL, and that is an area where the heart of Leeds’ defense has struggled with for years now. They’re weak off corners, crosses, and various set pieces – and look for West Ham to be able to exploit this regularly on Monday.

Now that West Ham is healthy, expect them to only further improve on their impressive underlying statistics. Entering Monday, they sit 4th in the entire league in expected-goal differential, and a matchup against the defensively-challenged Leeds should only increase their numbers.

Meanwhile, for Leeds United it’s been the opposite in terms of their underlying metrics. They now boast a -3 expected goal differential on the season, with the allure of their high-octane offense fading in recent weeks. They aren’t good enough to outscore their defensive fragilities clearly, and it has cost them as they’ve slid down the table.

Expect Leeds to not shift their focus or strategy though. They believe in their formula as it is what made them successful in the Championship for years. That said, West Ham is a stingy defensive club that is well-organized under David Moyes, and will be nearly impossible to break down. When Leeds turns the ball over, the Hammers possess all kinds of skill and speed in the final third to make them pay – and expect West Ham to feast on the break.

West Ham enter in impressive form, and though they still have many doubters and detractors on their successes thus far – this is a solid team and one which has firmly earned the respect of the betting market. At plus-money, at home, the Hammers are the value choice to secure all three points.

My Pick
West Ham
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Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.