France vs. Germany Euro 2020 Pick – June 15

The first marquee matchup of Euro 2020 will unfold Tuesday afternoon as tournament favourites France travel to Munich, to take on a powerful German side.

Both of these sides drew the short straw being placed in a tough Group F alongside one another. With Portugal, qualifying will not be easy, even if there is an ability for three teams to advance into the knockout rounds. Although it is just their opening match, given the level of competition, results are crucial straightaway.

France have enjoyed some excellent form going back a few years now. They’ve thrived under former star player Didier Deschamps. The last Euro Cup this squad reached the Finals, and they are also the reigning World Cup title holders. They haven’t lost any matches in 2021, and if their team of stars can put aside their egos for the greater good and team cohesion – this French side are bound to add yet another trophy to their showcase. Again, that is a big ‘if’ however.

For the Germans, they have the added benefit of being able to play at home for Euro 2020, though their suspect form might render that a disadvantage. Changes to key pieces in the squad haven’t worked out, and though Joachim Low’s German squad went on a real run of poor form, there is some evidence that is starting to shift. A loss to North Macedonia was the low point, however recent results vs. both Latvia and Denmark offer optimism for Euro 2020. The Germans have world-class players all over the pitch, and possess plenty of big-game experience. Can they hold a high-octane French side in check? Continue reading on beneath the current odds for our analysis and betting preview for this blockbuster showdown. Enjoy!

France vs. Germany Betting Odds:

France (+175)
Draw (+225)
Germany (+185)

France PK (-115)
Germany PK (-105)

Over 2.5 (+105)
Under 2.5 (-115)

*Betting odds provided by

France vs. Germany Pick:

After a six-year absence, star forward Karim Benzema has been called back into the French squad, offering up yet another dynamic striking element for Les Bleus. He’ll sit atop Deschamps’ unique 4-1-2-1-2 formation, alongside the rapid Kylian Mbappe and form a striking duo that will be feared by any defense in the tournament.

The French combine elite skill and playmaking with some tireless workers and ball winners. They boast a dominating centre-back pairing of Raphael Varane and Presnel Kimpembe, while Chelsea’s N’Golo Kante will be crucial at the base of France’s diamond midfield in breaking up plays and stifling runs of the German opposition. It’s a complete side, without too many holes.

Germany have also welcomed back some key veteran pieces to their squad, as Thomas Muller and Mats Hummels return to the starting eleven. Look for Joachim Low to line-up Germany in a 3-4-3 formation, filled with creativity and attacking flair up front. While their three-man back-line against Benzema and Mbappe seems a tad iffy, expect support from reliable central midfielders Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gundogan.

Make no mistake however, the Germans will not sit back against anybody, even France. This is a lineup built to attack, and with Kai Havertz, Thomas Muller, and Serge Gnabry all up front – putting the ball at their feet will be crucial to the success of the Germans. That’s as lethal an attacking trio as we’ve seen in Euro 2020, and they should be able to find the back of the net enough to secure positive results.

While there is sometimes a tendency for these matches to skew cagey and low-scoring, with all of the attacking talent on the pitch, don’t expect that to materialize. France will likely dictate the pace and control the bulk of possession, but Germany’s attack is too lethal to be kept off the scoresheet. I anticipate a match in which both teams find the back of the net, and given current lineup predictions, the Over 2.5 goals at a plus-money price seems to be the value play for Tuesday.

My Pick
Over 2.5
All Tags:
euro 2020
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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