Freiburg vs. Monchengladbach Pick – Bundesliga June 5

Our unbelievable run with betting Bundesliga matches continued midweek with yet another winner on Eintracht Frankfurt. That club continues an impressive tear, generating goals at impressive clips from the restart.

Their offensive prowess boosted the record for Bundesliga betting to 16-4 since the pause, and though other soccer leagues across the pond are also close to returning, this league has been profitable, and there’s no sign of stopping it!

Today, matchweek 30 kicks off with a big top-8 showdown between Monchengladbach and Freiburg. Both sides are pining for coveted European football positions, with M’gladbach hoping for a top-4 Champions League spot, while Freiburg would be content with a top-6 Europa League position.

Both teams have struggled with consistency all season long, and the same trends have rung true since games resumed in early May. With Gladbach coming off of a big victory last weekend though, optimism is growing for Marco Rose’s side – especially as his key talents return to full health.

For Freiburg, they’re eagerly closing the gap on both Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, directly in front of them. Coming off a tough, but narrow loss to Kai Havertz and Bayer Leverkusen – the challenge won’t be any easier against an explosive M’gladbach side. Freiburg have shown potential to hang with the big clubs, but inconsistency has plagued Christian Streich’s club.

Can the respective gaps be closed in this crucial showdown for coveted European qualification? Read on beneath the posted odds as we look to continue our torrid pace in the German Bundesliga. Enjoy!

Freiburg vs. Monchengladbach Betting Odds:

M’Gladbach (-125)
Freiburg (+360)
Draw (+275)

Over 3 (+100)
Under 3 (-120)

*Betting odds provided by

Freiburg vs. Monchengladbach Pick:

Despite Freiburg’s recent form, and solid top-table ranking, they remain one of the more puzzling Bundesiga sides. That confusion has continued since the restart. They aren’t littered with much star power, and don’t control the tempo or pace in virtually any of their games. They routinely get outplayed, while their expected goal metrics would suggest they should be far worse off than they actually are.

Freiburg are an overrated side, and ones that are currently coasting on surprising lots of teams early in the campaign. They currently boast a putrid -17 xG differential, a stark suggestion that this isn’t a group worth backing all too often. They’ve also only mustered 6 of their past 24 potential points, and seem ripe for the taking for an in-form Gladbach group.

Making matters worse for Freiburg is the fact that they’ll be without a couple of key players this Friday afternoon. It is believed that defender Robin Koch will miss out, as well as scoring threat up top in Janik Haberer. With doubts at the back and in the attacking third, Monchengladbach have to see this as another glorious opportunity to increase their standing.

Last time out they throttled Union Berlin, showing the full might of their finishing and attacking prowess. Alessane Plea and Marcus Thuram continue to form a dynamic duo between playmaker and finisher, and there’s truly nobody within Freiburg’s defensive lineup that can limit their effectiveness.

Monchengladbach have also shown good form of late away from home, and though we are quickly realizing the home ‘advantage’ is not much of one without fans, it surely helps the confidence for Rose’s men as they enter an unfamiliar setting.

Expect M’gladbach’s offensive formation and flexibility to just overwhelm a fairly rigid and unimaginative Freiburg side. Gladbach will have no issues whatsoever in controlling the bulk of possession, and stretching Freiburg out wide, leaving them thin at the back. Freiburg has struggled keeping goals out in their 4-4-2 formation, and M’gladbach should secure the full three points with ease on Friday afternoon.

Prediction: Monchengladbach 3-1

My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.