Germany vs. Turkey Pick – International Friendly October 7, 2020

The Turkish national club will fly to Cologne for a friendly against the German national club on Wednesday. In their first two matches together since November in a UEFA EURO Qualifiers match, a 6-1 win over Northern Ireland, Germany looked sloppy versus Spain and Switzerland. A 1-1 draw against a country like Spain is nothing to feel bad about. In fact, Spain is ahead of Germany at the moment in the FIFA rankings. However, their follow up performance against Switzerland left a lot to be desired.

Germany settled for a draw again, as they finished all knotted up at 1 goal for each side against Switzerland on September 6. That was a case of Germany going up against a Switzerland club who wanted to be on the pitch more than them. I’m not so sure that Germany were fully focused in that Nations League match. There was at least some effort against the Spaniards. I didn’t see much energy out of them at St. Jakob-Park in Switzerland, though. Switzerland outshot Germany, 20-14, and put more shots on target with 6 compared to 4 for the visitors.

Will a trip home to Cologne help the Germans on Wednesday? They will be without the services of Timo Werner, so that might hurt their cause. Werner is being described as having a cold. Whenever you hear that, you think that might be code name for COVID-19, but it doesn’t appear to be the case. There really is no reason to play Werner in this match versus Turkey in a friendly anyway. Germany possesses more than enough talent to get by on Wednesday without him on the pitch. Head below for our free Germany vs. Turkey pick for October 7, 2020.

Germany vs. Turkey (Friendly) Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Germany -1, -1.5 (-110)
  • Turkey -+1, +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Germany (-263)
  • Turkey (+580)
  • Draw (+380)
Total:

  • Over 2.5, 3 (-110)
  • Under 2.5, 3 (-110)

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Germany vs. Turkey Prediction:

Turkey started their Nations League play in 2020 with a loss versus Hungary by a 1-0 decision. They were hoping to grind things out and play for a draw, but playing back didn’t work as effectively as they wished. Hungary struck at the 80 minute mark to go ahead by a goal.

It did, however, work against Serbia in their next outing on September 6. Turkey and Serbia played to a draw, though they had an opportunity for a win. Serbia were down Aleksandr Kolarov after receiving a red card at the 49 minute mark.

It didn’t result in a goal for Turkey, though, as they went two straight matches without scoring. Failing to score against Hungary was disappointing, but doing it against a Serbia squad who were at a one-man disadvantage for essentially the whole second-half wasn’t an encouraging sign.

Motivation is always a deciding factor when it comes to handicapping friendlies. Germany is the superior club, but if they don’t care much about beating up on Turkey, it doesn’t mean as much. Following their dreary form versus Switzerland, you have to believe that there will be some effort made to play better at home versus an inferior opponent.

German is in prep mode right now for UEFA Nations League competition. There didn’t seem to be any focus for the Germans against Switzerland, though. After that performance, expect Joachim Low to have his group to play with some more drive and focus on Wednesday in Cologne. There are also some players on the German side looking to make an impression in this friendly. I think Germany can get this assignment done by a score of 2-0 or 3-0 in their own backyard.

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The Bet
GERMANY -1, -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.