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Greece vs Germany Pick for June 22nd

The second knockout round match features the winner of Group B facing off against the runner up in Group A. Greece was incredibly fortunate to be able to continue on in this year’s Euros as it seemed that they were done and dusted headed into the final match day of the group stage. Germany, on the other hand, won all three of their Group B matches and is moving on with full confidence. It may be easy to count the Greeks out, but that is what the Russians did and we can all now see how that worked out for them. In my opinion this is going to be one of the harder knockout round matches to predict.

Greece looked like a disappointing side in their first two group matches, drawing against Poland and losing to the Czech Republic, but they came out firing against Russia. And when I say they came out firing I mean they took advantage of arguably their only chance of the day. After they netted their goal against Russia all the Greeks had to do was defend; something they have actually done quite well in this tournament. The Greek team this year looks nothing like the champions from 2004, but many of the players have been in this position before and will likely be able to handle themselves and the pressure being laid on them. Improvements need to happen in the attacking third though, and Georgios Samaras is going to have to step up and actually make a mark in one of these games. He is supposed to be Greece’s go-to guy up top and as of late he has done nothing but disappoint.

Germany is looking to keep their 3 game winning streak alive and are probably very happy that they get to play a Greece side that looks like an easy opponent on paper. Mario Gomez already has 3 goals for the Germans who won Group B all while maintaining a +3 goal differential. Germany still looks to be one of the strongest sides remaining in the tournament and it is going to take a major slip-up for them to not get a result against Greece. So long as the defense continues to play resolute football and the midfield remains as fluid and strings passes together like they have thus far.

Bovada.lv has Germany as being the favorite as they sit at -350 on the moneyline. Greece is a heavy underdog and is +1000 on the moneyline.

In my opinion I think that the Germans will have no problems with the Greeks. Do not be surprised if the halftime score is 0-0 because I feel like the Greeks will be defensive minded the entire day, but the Germans will wear down the Greeks in time. I would even venture to say that Germany very well might beat the Greeks by 2 or 3 goals…maybe even more.

Pick: GERMANY -1.5 [Win by 2 or more] (+110)