Hoffenheim vs. Hertha Berlin Pick – Bundesliga Matchday 26 – May 16

Germany’s top tier of soccer is back Saturday morning and afternoon, and you better believe many North American channels are picking up on the action. Fox Sports will be the main provider in the United States, while Sportsnet is covering the majority of the games up in Canada.

Sport may never be the same following the COVID-19 pandemic, but the idea of once again getting top-flight live team sports back on our television screens has to be somewhat comforting. The fact that we can use these games to whet our insatiable betting appetites only adds to the excitement.

One match in the early slate Saturday morning with undeniable betting action will unfold at 9:30 AM EST, as Hoffenheim takes on a struggling Hertha Berlin side. Hoffenheim are still in contention for a coveted Europa League spot, while Hertha Berlin could be continuing their slide towards a tight relegation battle.

It’ll also be a unique weekend in the sense that players are prohibited from touching each other on goal celebrations, and for the first time ever – managers will be allowed up to 5 substitutions. It’s clear that sides with better depth will surely have an advantage in the first few matchdays.

Though Hoffenheim enter Matchday 26 having been in complete control against Hertha Berlin of late – unbeaten in their last eight encounters, there are still issues with their back-line and injuries. With both teams struggling to keep the ball out of their respective nets, this game could be one to watch if you like goals. For further insight, and an official betting recommendation, read on beneath the posted odds for our winning wager on Hoffenheim vs. Hertha Berlin.

Hoffenheim vs. Hertha Berlin Betting Odds:

Hoffenheim (+125)
Hertha Berlin (+215)
Draw (+225)

Over 2.5 (-125)
Under 2.5 (+105)

*Betting odds provided by BetOnline.ag

Hoffenheim vs. Hertha Berlin Pick:

Both these sides have been badly plagued by inconsistency, and you can only hope the two-month pause in the action allowed these teams to regroup for a hectic final stretch.

Hoffenheim and Hertha Berlin do possess a ton of exciting players, and although both squads are capable of generating many high-quality chances and scoring goals, both have been dreadful at times at keeping the opposition from scoring.

TROUBLE AT THE BACK
Entering Matchday 26, Hoffenheim have generated 1.7 expected goals for per match, while allowing 2.0 expected goals against. Hertha Berlin meanwhile regularly give up goals, and were especially woeful in the weeks leading up to the Bundesliga’s pause. They concede an average of 1.8 expected goals per match – which makes Saturday’s encounter all the more intriguing in terms of action.

Hertha Berlin enter this match in pure desperation mode, and might take an aggressive approach in this contest – perhaps catching their opponents off-guard following the league’s resumption. It’s been a disastrous campaign in Berlin thus far, and following the short-lived reign of former USMNT coach Jurgen Klinsmann, it is now up to Bruno Labbadia to right this sinking ship.

Hertha will likely come out aggressively as that suits their style, and with games coming up against RB Leipzig and Dortmund in the coming weeks, securing a win here becomes a necessity if they’d like to avoid the drop.

For Hoffenheim, injuries have seeped into the squad as key striker Andrej Kramaric will miss out. It’s also believed that Sargis Adamyan will also be sidelined. For Hertha, Salomon Kalou is suspended after violating quarantine protocol, along with the suspended Vladimir Darida. With that duo sidelined, it’ll make a Hertha back-line especially vulnerable, and should lead to a constant stream of chances.

Hoffenheim remain the much better side, though without Kramaric they’re going to need to find new ways of generating offense. With that being said, defense is effort, mentality, and fatigue – and all of those things could suffer after a long pause in the action. Offense should beat out defense in matchday 26, and as a result look for both teams to find the back of the net, and this match to soar over the posted total. While I also anticipate Hoffenheim winning, their injuries give me pause. Instead, look for this to be a back-and-forth affair, with both teams realizing the importance of three crucial points. Over 2.5 is the play here.

Prediction: Hoffenheim 2-1

My Pick
O2.5 Goals
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.