Iceland vs. Belgium Pick – UEFA Nations League October 14, 2020

There are 20 UEFA Nations League matches on the card on Wednesday across Europe. You can catch 18 matches at 7:45 p.m. BST and 2:45 p.m. EST. I hope you have multiple screens set up if you plan on catching more than one tonight.

We have you covered for a couple of matches, both of which are in League A Group 2. England and Denmark will square off at Wembley Stadium in London, while Iceland and Belgium will hit the pitch at Laugardalsvollur in Reykjavik.

Iceland are clinging for life in the League A Group 2, as Belgium, Denmark, and England have taken flight ahead of them. They have yet to locate a point in Nations League play. Iceland enters Wednesday with a record of 0-0-3 after three straight losses. It’s unlikely they are moving up to scare anybody, so Iceland can play with house money at home in this one.

There isn’t anything to lose. Iceland is a club that likes to play back and grind matches out with a defensive style, but they can let loose and take some chances tonight. If Belgium takes them lightly, an upset could be in the works in Iceland.

Belgium has the most international points in the world with 1773. As a result, FIFA recognizes them atop the world, ahead of France and Brazil. Belgium certainly isn’t better than France and Brazil, but have more points on them. Having said that, Belgium are going to be a World Cup team, and have a puncher’s chance of playing spoiler in Qatar.

They are in the same ballpark with Argentina and Italy as far as their odds to win are concerned. Belgium has a chance to be the next Croatia, but we’ll see how much things change between now and 2020. Focusing on Ireland tonight is priority No. 1 for Belgium, though. They look to build on a terrific performance against Iceland a month ago in a 5-1 win at home. Head below for our free Iceland vs. Belgium pick for October 14, 2020.

Iceland vs. Belgium UEFA Nations League Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Iceland +1.5 (+102)
  • Belgium -1.5 (-122)
Moneyline:

  • Iceland (+800)
  • Belgium (-333)
  • Draw (+400)
Total:

  • Over 2.5, 3 (-126)
  • Under 2.5, 3 (+106)

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Iceland vs. Belgium Prediction:

Belgium torched Iceland for a 5-1 win in their meeting on September 8 at King Baudouin Stadium. They peppered Iceland with 11 shots on target compared to just 3 for Iceland. Time of possession was lopsided, with Belgium having control of the ball for 75% of the match.

Their pass accuracy was on another level with 90% hitting their mark, while Iceland only completed 71% of their passes accurately. When you play a club like Belgium, they can force a lot of unforced errors on the pitch. Iceland certainly fell into the trap in Belgium last month.

In their first Nations League match, Belgium were in impressive form then as well, with a 2-0 win over a solid Denmark squad on September 5. Denmark were able to put only 1 shot on target, while Belgium converted with 2 goals on 5 shots on target. Their lone loss in Nations League play came against England on Sunday.

It was a hard-fought 2-1 loss, with England putting 3 shots on target as opposed to 2 for Belgium. Not a terrible effort for Belgium against England. Expect Iceland to fail to generate many dangerous scoring opportunities on Wednesday night. They’ve struggled against much inferior opponents in the past.

The goal differential for Iceland in Nations League competition has been putrid. After losing to Denmark, 3-0, on Sunday, Iceland sports a bad goal differential of -8 in three matches. Statistically Iceland are still alive in Group 2, but face much better odds of being relegated to League B in the Nations League. The road trip hampers Belgium tonight, though they should still be able to reign supreme by a final score of 2-0 or 3-0.

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The Bet
BELGIUM -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.