Liverpool vs. Burnley EPL Pick – Gameweek 19 January 21

Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool side will be eager to keep pace with those ahead of them in the Premier League title race, as they host Burnley at Anfield on Thursday afternoon.

The Reds have been stagnant lately, showing very little offense and struggling to secure positive results. Yes, this is a team ravaged by injuries to first-team pieces at the moment, but scoring goals should never be an issue for this side. They now trail Man United by six points, and if Liverpool do want to repeat as title holders – beating Burnley comfortably is simply a result they need.

For the Clarets of Burnley, they are very much in a relegation battle again this season. They enter Gameweek 19 amid a run of very poor form, having lost three of their past four outings. Sean Dyche’s side is struggling to score goals as well, and might need to open up their play in order to generate more offense. Of course, against Liverpool that’s always a dangerous proposition.

Both sides desperately seek a positive result this Thursday afternoon, and despite the perceived mismatch in talent, this fixture is definitely one to keep an eye on given the stakes. Can Liverpool revive their title push? Or will Burnley secure an improbable result to pull them out of a tense relegation battle? Continue on beneath the posted odds for further team news, a tactical analysis, and a betting prediction as Liverpool host Burnley in Week 19 Premier League action.

Liverpool vs. Burnley Betting Odds:

Liverpool (-475)
Draw (+615)
Burnley (+1425)

Liverpool -1.5 (-150)
Burnley +1.5 (+130)

Over 3 (-115)
Under 3 (-105)

*Betting odds provided by

Liverpool vs. Burnley Pick:

Though times have been tough lately within the Liverpool camp, they’ll likely get a bit of a boost this week as key defender Joel Matip is expected to return to the side. The Cameroonian central defender odds an important element of physicality and great structure to the club, and this has definitely been a weakness for Klopp’s side in recent weeks.

This will also bump Jordan Henderson up to a much more familiar midfield role, where he can be instrumental in winning balls and distributing up top to the likes of Sadio Mane, Roberto Firmino, and Mohamed Salah. Those three enter somewhat rusty, but a breakout seems to be coming, given their chances at goal of late.

Look for Liverpool to control much of the ball, and dictate the pace and tempo. The real question is what tactics will Sean Dyche employ for the Clarets. With Burnley struggling themselves to muster offense, the thinking here is that he’ll essentially try to ‘park the bus’ continuing to frustrate an out-of-sorts Liverpool side, and play for a cagey draw.

Burnley will line-up in a familiar 4-4-2 formation, but with a real emphasis on protecting the dangerous areas of the pitch. They won’t want to get caught too far forward and leave a lethal Liverpool attack with clear, goal-scoring chances. Instead, expect Dyche’s side to look to have at least nine players behind the ball whenever Liverpool does possess it, and a real emphasis will be placed on clamping down on their time and space within the attacking third.

While the Clarets don’t possess much imaginivity or creativity up front, they have proven to be a solid defensive side, capable of sticking to their tactics and frustrating more talented opposition. The thinking here is that Burnley will eventually concede, but it won’t be a laugher. They’ll frustrate Liverpool, and likely frustrate themselves with their inability to respond. Expect a narrow Liverpool win, but given their current form and lack of activity around goal, the Under 3 goals seems to be the best play for Thursday afternoon.

My Pick
Under 3
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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