Liverpool vs. Newcastle United EPL Pick – Gameweek 16 – December 30

Following the cancellation of the all-London Derby earlier on Wednesday between Fulham and Tottenham, thankfully there is still one other game to satisfy our EPL betting appetite.

League leaders Liverpool will travel to Newcastle to lock horns at the famous St. James’ Park, as they look to extend their impressive run of form. The Reds have been steady in recent weeks, successfully managing a poor run of injuries to key personnel. They’ve maintained their distance on contending teams, and ready for another statement victory in the hopes of aiding their chances at a repeat title.

For Newcastle, they enter Gameweek 16 coming in off of a brutal defeat to Championship side Brentford in the EFL Cup. They haven’t won in four matches, and the Tyneside club is in danger of fading into a relegation battle after a hot start. This is a club that supposedly has mid-table potential, but they surely aren’t showing it at the moment.

Both of these clubs possess a wealth of exciting offensive talent, and do have a real knack of opening things up, and going for it. That should result in a thrilling clash on Wednesday afternoon, and for more betting analysis, team news, and a prediction, continue reading on beneath the current odds for our selection.

Liverpool vs. Newcastle Betting Odds:

Liverpool (-300)
Newcastle (+900)
Draw (+475)

Over 3 (-125)
Under 3 (+105)

Liverpool -1.5 (-115)
Newcastle +1.5 (-105)

*Betting odds provided by

Liverpool vs. Newcastle Pick:

Following a lacklustre draw vs. a weak West Bromwich Albion lineup, Jurgen Klopp wasn’t all that concerned, but doesn’t like wasting opportunity. Right now, with many title contenders fading, the Reds have a chance to further extend their league during a time where Tottenham, Chelsea, and Manchester City continue to fade due to fatigue, injuries, or poor form.

To take advantage, they’ll need to deal with their own injury concerns. Already without key centre back Virgil van Dijk, Liverpool will likely need to contend with the loss of Joel Matip this week. Along with Joe Gomez, the Liverpool back-line is lacking first-team options, but thankfully with their added riches, they’ve secured a lot of squad depth. Expect promising youngster Rhys Williams to fill the void, who along with Fabinho should secure the defense for the Reds.

Klopp will line-up in his traditional 4-3-3 formation, relentlessly pushing the pace from the flanks and forcing Newcastle to constantly deal with Liverpool’s excellent ball movement and ability from out wide. Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold are two of the sport’s top playmakers as fullbacks, and should wear down Newcastle when defending.

Up front in attack, the trio of Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino, and Sadio Mane remain one of the best in soccer right now, and with support from Robertson and Alexander-Arnold, should eventually break down Newcastle’s back-five.

The Magpies will likely revert to a 5-4-1 for this contest, marking a shift in terms of tactics and philosophy. Defending for 90 minutes is impossible against Liverpool, and it will be intriguing to see what push-back Steve Bruce’s side can offer against a motivated Liverpool squad. For Newcastle, Callum Wilson will lead the line as the lone striker, though how much damage he can solely inflict remains in doubt. If Newcastle are intent on packing the box and having all defenders beneath the ball, look for the quick passing and deft finishing of the Reds to eventually break through.

Following a bit of a lull against West Brom their last time out, Liverpool aren’t used to dropping points in very winnable matches. This is certainly another one, and expect their finishing and hunger around goal to be much greater this time around. Newcastle cannot be expected to suffocate the Reds’ potent attack, and they’re clearly a team trending downward. Expect Liverpool’s attack to overwhelm, and secure them with a comfortable road victory, easily covering the -1.5 goal spread.

My Pick
Liverpool -1.5
All Tags:
epl, liverpool
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.