Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Champions League Odds and Pick

On Saturday, all eyes will be on Paris, where Liverpool will meet Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League final.

These two teams are familiar with this stage, of course. This is Liverpool’s third UCL final appearance in the last five years, while Real Madrid have won this competition 13 times overall.
These two sides met one another in the 2018 final in Kyiv. Madrid won that game, 3-1, thanks to some goalkeeping errors by Liverpool’s then-No. 1, Loris Karius.

Mo Salah and company will be out for revenge on Saturday in what should be a compelling showdown between a couple of the most high-octane attacking sides in the world.
Bovada oddsmakers have Liverpool listed as +105 favorites to win the game in regulation, while Real Madrid checks in at +250 on the moneyline. You’ll also find +265 odds on the sides playing to a draw over the first 90 minutes.


Unfortunately, Liverpool were denied in their quest for the rare “quadruple.” The Reds ultimately fell by a single point to Manchester City to lose the Premier League title last weekend after Pep Guardiola’s crew dramatically erased a 2-0 deficit to beat Aston Villa in thrilling fashion.

However, the Reds will certainly be happy to take home three trophies in a single season. Liverpool have already won the FA Cup and EFL Cup, and this is arguably the greatest team we’ve ever seen in this club’s illustrious history. Liverpool have won more trophies than any other English side ever, so that’s saying something.

After a few injury scares, Jurgen Klopp should have his full complement of players ready for this one, as well. Thiago was just given the green light to play after leaving last week’s win over Wolverhampton Wanderers early. Fabinho, meanwhile, will return after missing the last couple of weeks with a hamstring issue.

This game is also an important one to Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian just won the Premier League’s Golden Boot, but he was forced to leave the 2018 final against Real Madrid after suffering a separated shoulder in the first half. Salah took exception to the Sergio Ramos challenge that resulted in the injury, and he has made no secret of his desire to get the better of the Spanish giants this time around.
Liverpool scored 94 goals in the Premier League this term. The Reds have also scored 30 times across just 12 Champions League matches, including five across two legs in the semifinal round against Villarreal.

Before losing the 2018 final, Liverpool beat Real Madrid in the final of the 1981 European Cup.

Real Madrid

For whatever reason, the Champions League tends to bring out the best in Real Madrid. Los Blancos will also be looking for their third trophy of the season after winning La Liga and the Spanish SuperCup earlier in the year.

The Champions League is what makes this club what it is, however. Madrid’s 2018 win over Liverpool was their third consecutive triumph in this competition, and their fourth since 2013. Real Madrid fell in the semifinals of the Champions League last year, and a four-year drought is actually relatively long by their lofty standards.

Madrid will be led by Karim Benzema and Vinicius Junior, who have done most of the heavy-lifting for Carlo Ancelotti’s attack. Benzema has already scored an incredible 15 goals in UCL play this season, though Vini has supplied just one strike since the group stage.

Real have scored a total of 28 goals through their first 12 UCL matches of the year, which comes out to an average of about 2.3 per game. They have also conceded 14 times, however, which could be an issue against a high-scoring Liverpool side. The Reds have averaged exactly 2.5 goals per game through their own first 12 outings in this tournament.

David Alaba and Eder Militao is a unique pairing in central defense, though Madrid aren’t as experienced in that area of the pitch as they were the last time these teams met.

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Champions League Final Pick

The odds for this one favor Liverpool, and it’s hard to argue against it. For all of Real Madrid’s success to this point, they have been a little lucky to get this far.

Please Note:
Real needed a pair of stoppage-time goals just to get past Manchester City in the semifinal stage. Were it not for an epic City collapse in the game’s waning moments, their season would already be over. Benzema supplied similar heroics when Madrid erased a late deficit to escape PSG in the round of 16, as well.

I think Liverpool are the more motivated side, and I think they’re the better side overall. I like the Reds to finish their dream season on a high note with a regular-time victory over Real Madrid on Saturday in Paris.


Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Betting Recap

  • Moneyline: Liverpool +105, Real Madrid +250, Draw +265
  • Spread: Liverpool -0.5 (-110), Real Madrid +0.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals (-110), Under 2.5 goals (-110)
  • Pick: Liverpool (+105)


Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

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