Manchester City vs Arsenal Pick – EPL Week 1

The opening weekend of the 2018/19 English Premier League will close with potentially the best game of the week in a classic matchup between Arsenal Manchester City at the Emirates Stadium.

Arsenal is entering this game after a chaotic offseason where they hired a new manager Unai Emery to replace Arsene Wenger, who was at the club for more than two decades. On the other side, Manchester City under Pep Guardiola have just come off the most dominant Premier League title win last season, where they have recorded 100 points and scored 108 goals.

In this betting preview, I will try to bring the game a bit closer to you and point out some important information that you could use when you make your betting decisions this Sunday. Feel free to check it out and get up to speed on the latest news for the game.

Arsenal vs Man City

Kickoff: August 12th, 2018 at 17:00 CET (11:00 EST)

Venue: Emirates Stadium

Provisional Starting Lineups:

GK – Leno, Defense – Mustafi, Sokratis, Bellerin, Maitland-Niles, Midfield – Mkhitaryan, Xhaka, Ozil, Torreira, Attack – Aubameyang, Lacazette
Manchester City
GK – Ederson, Defense – Mendy, Stones, Laporte, Delph Midfield – D.Silva, Fernandinho, B.Silva, Attack – Mane, Aguero, Jesus

Arsenal vs Manchester City History

Arsenal and Manchester City have officially met for the first time back in 1893, in a game where Arsenal have won by a score of 1-0. Since then a total of 194 official games have been played between the two clubs.

Arsenal hold the advantage in the head-to-head games with 96 wins, 45 draws and 53 losses to Manchester City. Lately, the rivalry has been quite one-sided as Manchester City have been unbeaten in the last 6 games versus Arsenal, recording 4 wins and 2 draws in the process.

Stats and Info You Should Consider

I have prepared a list of stats and info that you might find useful when making your betting decision on the game.

  • Arsenal hold the edge in the head-to-head matchup with 96 wins, 45 draws and 53 draws.
  • Manchester City is undefeated in their last 6 matches against Arsenal and have won 4, while drawing two of them. Manchester City has also won 3 games in a row versus Arsenal.
  • Last 10 English Premier League games that Arsenal have played in, have all seen more than 2.5 goals.
  • Unai Emeri has previously faced Pep Guardiola 10 times in the Spanish La Liga and he has never triumphed against Pep Guardiola’s teams.

The last 9 games between Arsenal and Manchester City have all seen more than 2.5 goals. The same holds true for the 13 out of the last 15 games between the two sides.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Betting Markets Preview

Despite being the away team in this rivalry game, Manchester City have been named a -118 favorite to win the game. Arsenal are valued at +280 to win it, the same price that the sportsbooks have offered for a draw as well. I find it hard to see Arsenal overcome a well-oiled machine that Pep Guardiola has made at Manchester City, especially with a new manager and all the additions to their roster.

Goals markets are a place where this game should offer a lot of value. For the game to have more than 3 goals scored, the sportsbooks have offered -114 odds, which is a great value if you are looking for a safe bet that will not win you a lot of money, but there is very little risk involved.

Here are all my betting picks in a bulleted list:

  • Manchester City to win the game at 22 to 25 odds
  • More than 3 goals to be scored in the game at -114 odds

As you can see, there are a lot of bets that I found to offer value. Of course, it is up to you to see how risk-averse you want to be and select the types of bets that best fit your betting style and wallet.


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