Manchester City vs. Marseille Pick – Champions League December 9, 2020

Manchester City is gearing up for a highly anticipated rivalry match against Manchester United on Saturday. Before then, though, Manchester City has to close out the group stage of the Champions League against Marsielle of Ligue 1 on Wednesday. Manchester City has things wrapped up in Group C. They sport a record of 4-1-0 with 13 points to lead the top of the table. Give credit to Porto for hanging around at 3-1-1 and 10 points.

If Manchester City loses today and Porto wins, then the first round will end in a tie at the top. Olympiacos and Marseille are so far behind that no one else is threatening. Olympiacos and Marseille are tied at the bottom of the table with 3 points apiece. In other words, this match does carry some importance for Marseille. Whoever gets the edge on Wednesday will advance to the Europa League. It’s a nice consolation prize for playing in a tough group against Porto and Manchester City.

Manchester City doesn’t have to do anything here, but I’m sure they want to be in good form being their tilt against Manchester United. City are on a two-match winning streak in EPL competition. They are coming off a 2-0 win over Fulham on Saturday. That is what was supposed to happen against an inferior foe like Fulham. They also torched Burnley by a score of 5-0 on November 28 for some terrific form. I know it’s Burnley, but beating any club in the EPL by five goals is nice nonetheless.

In their latest Champions League contest, Manchester City took a draw against Porto for a point. Porto are a much better club that they get credit for. The Portuguese outfit could easily compete in one of the elite European leagues. Primeira Liga is on the cusp of being an elite league, but comes just short.

Marseille play in an elite league, but have been falling short in the Champions League. They are a 7-3-1 club with 24 points in France. That’s good for fourth and a spot in the Europa League group stage if play stopped today. The best they can hope for this year is the Europa League on Wednesday. Head below for our free Manchester City vs. Marseille pick for December 9, 2020.

Manchester City vs. Marseille Champions League Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Manchester City -1.5 (-114)
  • Marseille +1.5 (-106)
Moneyline:

  • Manchester City -345
  • Marseille +825
  • Draw +440
Total:

  • Over 3 (+108)
  • Under 3 (-126)

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Manchester City vs. Marseille Prediction:

The question going into this match is how much does Manchester City care to win? If they want to play their game and up to their full potential, then a win should be easy on Wednesday. Manchester City is the vastly superior club, though motivation is going to be the difference in this one.

Marseille is likely to have motivation to edge out Olympiacos to get to Europa League. That said, I am sure Marseille were motivated to beat Man City in their first meeting on October 27 as well. It didn’t work out for Marseille, as they were whacked by a score of 3-0 at home in France.

Man City were the superior team, especially defensively, as they held Marseille to only 2 shots in total. They also lost other key metrics, including time of possession at 65% to 35% and pass accuracy at 92% to 83%. That is the only meeting between City and Marseille in club history. After beating Olympiacos, City returned with a dominant performance against Olympiacos as well. They were good for a 3-0 final score in that match at home. Beating Man City at home is not an easy chore.

They’ve recorded 2.2 goals and conceded 1.2 per match at home, while scoring just 1.2 goals on the road in EPL competition. In the Champions League, it’s been more of the same for Man City, with 3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match at home. We go back to our original question: how much does Manchester City care today? My answer is I think they care enough to secure a 2-0 victory over Marseille on Wednesday.

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The Bet
MANCHESTER CITY -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.