Manchester City vs Newcastle United Pick – EPL Matchweek 4

In this Matchday 4 matchup, we have a story of two opposites. The flamboyant Manchester City which demolished the competition on their way to the English Premier League title last season and the reserved and defensive-minded Newcastle United that are trying to step up to the top half of the EPL table. The match has big implications for both sides, as they each pursue their goals in the EPL this season.

Manchester City have enjoyed a hot start to the EPL season, as they comfortably beat Arsenal 0-2 in the away opener and then went on to demolish Huddersfield Town 6-1 at home. They did face their first adversity of the season at Wolverhampton, where they managed to score only a 1-1 draw. The Citizens are already two points behind rivals Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham and they will be looking to get back on track this weekend.

Newcastle United are having a nightmare start to their EPL season. Some of it can be attributed to a difficult opening schedule but the Magpies have struggled to play up to their potential in the EPL this season. They dropped a home opener 1-2 to Tottenham, after leading 1-0, managed only a bore draw 0-0 at Cardiff City and lost another home game 1-2, this time to Chelsea.

The game will be played at City of Manchester stadium where the Citizens have won the last 3 matches versus Newcastle United. Overall, the last 12 games played between two sides have gone in the favor of Manchester City, who have 9 wins, Newcastle has 2 and only 1 has ended in a draw. Manchester City are the favorites this weekend as well, but Newcastle United have known to spring surprises on the Big 6 clubs, just ask Chelsea.

I have prepared a short breakdown of the match and some betting predictions, so feel free to read on.

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Odds

  • Manchester City: 1.12
  • Newcastle United: 21.00
  • Draw: 9.00
  • Over 2.5 Goals: 1.33
  • Under 2.5 Goals : 3.00

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Pick

Manchester City have valued as huge favorites in this matchup by the sportsbooks, with 1.12 odds to win. The Citizens will be under pressure to take care of business at home and get back on track in the title race. Newcastle United have nothing to lose and they can be patient and wait for their opportunity to strike from counter attacks.

Pep Guardiola has built this Manchester City squad in his image, trying to replicate the success he has had previously at Barcelona and Bayern Munich. It does help that he was given unlimited resources by the club management to achieve this, but the result cannot be argued. It took a year for Manchester City to start to click but last season they ran through the competition on their way to the English Premier League title.

The key to Guardiola’s system is the balance between the defensive assignments and pressing schemes and lightning quick transition to offense and counter attacks. With a world-class roster at his disposal, the Spanish manager has managed to turn Manchester City into a ruthless machine.

The midfield is run by the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Fernandihno and David Silva, who can quickly transition from defensive assignments into lethal attacking force that can easily connect up front with the world-class strikes such as Aguero, Sterling, Leroy Sane or Gabriel Jesus. The backline is run by physically dominant Kompany, Laporte, Mendy and Walker, allowing Guardiola a lot of freedom to explore formations and attacking setups.

Newcastle United are also the team built in the image of their manager, Rafa Benitez. A tough and physical side that tries to maintain a clean sheet at all costs, before making efforts to go forward and attack the goal. This approach might seem dull in the modern days, but Benitez has had a lot of success with the variety of teams running his system.

The main attacking threats in this hard-nosed squad are the forwards Jose Rondon and Ayoze Perez, that utilize their quickness and skill to get forward in the counter-attacks and pose a goal threat. Even though Newcastle United has had a tough schedule to start the season, they seem in high spirits and ready to fight against a heavily favored Manchester City side.

It is hard to look past Manchester City in this one and the 1.12 odds for their victory offer no value to punters. My pick is that this matchup will yield a lot of goals since Manchester City tend to go gung-ho when they play at home. So, my pick would be Over 2.5 Goals to be scored in the game at 1.33 odds. For more adventurous punters, Over 3.5 Goals at 1.85 odds might offer better value.

Pick = Over 2.5 Goals at 1.33 Odds


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