Newcastle United @ Burnley  EPL Pick – November 26th

Welcome to my EPL Draw value soccer picks, where I’ll be looking to exploit the bookies with value plays for our readers. The Premier League returns from the recent international break and my next draw pick for this weekend features another bottom half clash with Burnley entertaining fellow strugglers, Newcastle United with both teams eager to pull away from the relegation zone  — Kickoff: 1500hrs (EST)


Monday night wraps up another weekend’s action in the Premier League with Burnley taking on Newcastle United with a precious three points up for grabs for both sides.

Although they occupy 15th place on the Premier League ladder, Burnley are just one point ahead of third from bottom club Cardiff City at the time of writing this, but regardless of Cardiff’s result at Everton on Saturday, Burnley need to add to their points tally.

The hosts have made a slow and sluggish start to the new campaign after what was a fantastic season last term for The Clarets who qualified for the Europa League for the first time in their history.

However, we’ve seen it happen so often before when teams find themselves fighting on two fronts and league form suffers and exactly the same thing happened to Burnley.

Although the financial incentives are a welcome boost to the club’s coffers, Burnley just cannot afford to be relegated from the English top flight and it may well be a blessing in disguise that the hosts eventually bowed out of the competition at the final hurdle before the group stages.

As it is, Burnley have managed just two wins so far this season which were captured in back-to-back victories against Bournemouth and Cardiff City, but too many defeats for a side that were really hard to beat last season means they find themselves in the bottom half of the Premier League.

Home Form & Team News

Burnley have managed just one home win so far this term amidst an overall home record of  1-1-3  6/10 but manager Sean Dyche will be hoping his side can make a recovery in this fast approaching second half of the campaign.

A 4-0 romp over Bournemouth at Turf Moor looked like being the kick-start that Burnley needed but a disappointing 1-1 draw with Huddersfield Town followed by a heavy 4-0 loss to Chelsea put The Clarets back to square one.

The home side had earlier suffered back-to-back defeats to Watford and Manchester United, but they’ll be looking to this game against Newcastle United as a possible platform from which to build the rest of their season.

Goalkeeper Joe Hart is set to remain between the sticks but defenders Stephen Ward and James Tarkowski are likely to miss this clash due to injuries, while Ben Gibson is rated as doubtful. If Gibson isn’t fit, Kevin Long will fill in.


It looks like being another long, tough battle in the bottom half of the Premier League for Newcastle United although they experienced an upturn in form just before the international break.

The Magpies recorded back-to-back wins against Watford and Bournemouth to hand the north-east outfit six very much needed points in their bid to once again avoid relegation.

Manager Rafa Benitez once again has to do with the bulk of his squad that achieved promotion from the Championship two seasons ago, and if last season was a struggle, then this term looks like going the same way despite the two recent wins.

A lack of goals has prevented the visitors from putting some much needed daylight between themselves and the relegation zone and they make their way to Burnley just one point ahead of Cardiff City. 

The scarcity of goals for Newcastle United so far this season means that forwards Salomon Rondon and Joselu (2 goals apiece) lead the club’s goalscoring charts.

Away Form & Team News

The pressure upon manager Rafa Benitez was lifted temporarily with the two recent wins before the international break, but both of these victories were registered at their St James’ Park while wins away from home continue to elude them.

Newcastle possess an away record of  0-3-2  3/5 which include points at Cardiff City, Crystal Palace and Southampton – all of which were 0-0 stalemates, along with defeats at Manchester City and Manchester United.

However, even though they lost at both the Manchester clubs, the difference was just the odd goal on both occasions and they’ll fancy themselves to get something out of their trip to Turf Moor on Monday night against an out of sorts Burnley outfit.

Results away from home though have been generally poor in recent times as The Magpies have managed just one win from their last 13 outings on their travels, a run that includes failing to score in 6 of these 13.

The Wrap-up

Both Burnley and Newcastle United are struggling for results at home and away respectively, and both would rather settle for a point than suffer defeat I fancy.

My Pick
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