Perth Glory vs. Western United Pick – A League March 23, 2020

Round 24 continues on Monday in the Australia A-League with the finale between the Perth Glory and Western United. Two games have been postponed, with the Newcastle Jets vs. Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory vs. Brisbane Roar FC are expected to be played in the future. Wellington, who are located in New Zealand, are trying to navigate through a border closure notice.

They’ve received the greenlight to be able to train in isolation in Sydney, while preparing for the rest of their fixtures in the A-League. Wellington is playing for something and could be a legitimate threat to win the grand finals. Having said that, catching Sydney FC for the premiership doesn’t look like it’s going to be possible.

Sydney FC earned a point with a tie against Western Sydney on Saturday. They were about ten minutes away from getting the full 3 points, but Western Sydney was able to get the tying marker late in regulation for a 1-1 tie. Sydney FC can be a much better team than that. It wasn’t an essential win for Sydney, as they’re comfortable right now in the ladder with an 8-point lead over Melbourne City FC.

When 3 points are awarded for a win, a lot can change in a hurry, though. The shortened season will help Sydney FC perverse their lead, but getting too comfortable could be their downfall. The Perth Glory are hoping to play spoiler and cause some noise in the finals. If it started today, they’d be in with 31 points, but remain on the bubble with Western United, Adelaide United, and Western Sydney all within 5 points of them in the ladder.

A strong showing by Perth in this fixture would give them a notable boost. With Western United 4 points behind Perth, this is a big meeting between the two clubs. Western United are coming off two straight wins, while Perth tied Sydney and lost a couple of games against Melbourne City and Newcastle. The Glory cannot afford to drop three matches in a row, or their lead is going to be down to 1-point. The action in the A-League will heat up again for Round 25 on Friday. Before we get there, let’s see what Perth and Western Sydney have in store for us Monday. Head below for our free Perth vs. Western United pick.

Perth Glory vs. Western United Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Perth -0.5, -1 (-142)
  • Western United +0.5, +1 (+122)
Moneyline:

  • Perth (-185)
  • Western United (+400)
Total Points:

  • Over 2.5, 3 (-115)
  • Under 2.5, 3 (-105)

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Perth Glory vs. Western United Prediction:

The Perth Glory will be looking for their first win since February 7 against the Wellington Phoenix. That was a nice effort to get the win by a score of 4-2. The offence came to play, but has been letting off the gas pedal recently. Perth won six straight games before tying Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory, then getting the 4-2 victory versus Wellington. The Glory went from June 12 to February 29 without having experienced a loss. That’s allowed others to play catch up with Perth. Now would be the time for the Glory to wake up and get things straightened out for the home stretch.

Perth have scored an average of 1.75 goals per match, while allowing 1.1 goals a match in the 2019-20 season. Their offence has gotten a push in their own backyard, as they’ve netted 2.44 goals a game at HBF Park in Perth. As a result of taking more chances, their defence has regressed on the backend, though. Perth have conceded 1.67 goals per match at home, so more emphasis on defence at home will have to be stressed for the Glory if they want a spot in the finals. That said, they’re one of the best offences in the league at home, so scoring shouldn’t be too much of an issue on Monday against Western United.

Overall, Western United have scored an average of 1.7 goals per match and conceded 1.4 per match in 2019-20. Their offence has been particularly lifeless when pressed into duty away from home. They’ve netted an average of just 1.56 goals per match on the road, which could pose a problem against the high-scoring Perth offence in PBF Park, albeit without home supporters in attendance for the Glory. Western United welcomed Perth on October 19, as they played to a 1-1 tie. Perth performed like the better team, winning in shots, time of possession, and pass accuracy, but settled for a point at GMHBA Stadium. I’d back Perth to wake up and return to form on Monday at home versus the visitors.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.