PSG vs. Leipzig Pick – Champions League November 24, 2020

Paris Saint-Germain and RB Leipzig meet on Tuesday in Champions League play for what could be the match of the day. There are what should be some lopsided games on the schedule today, which consists of eight matches, across the Champions League. However, PSG and Leipzig should play a tight match and an entertaining one at that.

Manchester United leads Group H in the Champions League with a record of 2-0-1 and 6 points. It’s a tight group, with Istanbul, PSG, Leipzig, and Manchester United all with an opportunity to finish atop. Yes, even Istanbul can steal Group H if the cards fall their way. Istanbul must beat Manchester United today if that’s going to happen. They already upset them once, so we’ll see if they can pull off some magic once again.

In most groups it has been two teams and then everybody else. However, Group H is likely going to come down to the final matchday to decide who the two top clubs are. The two best clubs of each group will advance to the knockout round, with one going to the Europa League, and another getting denied completely.

Obviously the goal for Istanbul is to go further in the Champions League, but I think they would be content with the Europa League group stage if it came to that. Leipzig, who play in the Bundesliga in Germany, are fully capable of going on the road and winning an upset. They are one of the better clubs in the Bundesliga, but still a long stride behind the likes of Bayern Munich.

Leipzig owns a record of 5-2-1 and 16 points for a two-point deficit behind Bayern Munich. Dortmund and Leverkusen also hold a slim advantage over Leipzig. Meanwhile, PSG has a two-point advantage on Lille for the lead in Ligue 1. Lyon trail by four points. All signs point to another Ligue title for PSG, but they’d like to have success in the Champions League. Head below for our free PSG vs. Leipzig pick for November 24, 2020.

Paris Saint-Germain vs. RB Leipzig Champions League Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • PSG -1 (-109)
  • Leipzig +1 (-107)
Moneyline:

  • Juventus -179
  • Ferencvaros +400
  • Draw +330
Total:

  • Over 3.5 (-112)
  • Under 3.5 (-104)

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PSG vs. Leipzig Prediction:

PSG have already lost to Leipzig by a score of 2-1 on November 4 in Germany. They deserved the loss, as they were outplayed thoroughly. Leipzig were attacking, while PSG just kind of sat back and waited for the game to come to them. That’s not PSG football, and that lazy performance resulted in a loss on the road.

Now they’re back home in a comfortable environment at Le Parc des Princes in Paris. I expect the energy to be turned up a notch compared to that effort against Leipzig in Germany. They were able to respond with a 3-0 win over Rennes but collapsed against Monaco for a 3-2 loss in their most recent performance on Friday.

The defensive effort versus Monaco was weak at best. In the second 45, the PSG defence fell silent, as they yielded 3 goals. Kevin Volland struck with two quick goals out of the break at the 52 and 65 minute mark to tie the match up at 2-2 before PSG knew what hit them. At least the offence has been in good form for PSG of late.

Note that PSG has scored an average of 2.5 goals scored in their previous six matches. PSG has netted at least 2 goals in 9 of their previous 11 matches. Their defence has been vulnerable, though, as we saw against Leipzig in Germany.

There were additional chances for Leipzig to win a more comfortable margin as well. That could have very easily been a 3-1 final. I could easily see a 3-1 or 2-2 final score on Tuesday. PSG is unlikely to sit back this time around against Leipzig. They learnt their lesson the first time, and we should expect them to attack earlier and often today. I will take a piece of the OVER on Tuesday in Paris.

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The Bet
OVER 3, 3.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.