Ruh Brest vs. Energetyk-BGU Pick – Belarusian Premier League March 27, 2020

Following Torpedo BelAz and Belshina Bobruisk on Friday, the action will continue in the Belarusian Premier League between Ruh Brest and Energetyk-BGU later in the day. Ruh Brest are newcomers to the top class of football in Belarus, but you wouldn’t have known it by their performance in their first Premier League match.

They were winners over a veteran of the league, Dinamo Minsk by a score of 1-0. That’s not a meeting that Dinamo Minsk should have lost. But that’s what can happen if you lose focus and take an opponent lightly. Ruh Brest was playing in the Belarusian First League last season, and had enough success to get the call from the Premier League.

We’ll give Ruh Brest credit for the win, but they didn’t look like the better team for the majority of the match. All that matters is the final score, though Ruh Brest might have gotten fortunate against Dinamo Minsk in that one. Note that Ruh Brest were severely dominated when it came to time of possession. Dinamo Minsk controlled the ball for 62% of the match and connected for 7 shots on target. Conversely, Ruh Brest had just 3 shots on target, one of which was the difference maker and 3 points.

Ruh Brest also committed 13 fouls to just 6 fouls for Dinamo Brest. The only thing that went their way is the final tally on the scoreboard. That’s the only part of the match that matters, though, so you can’t take the win away from Ruh Brest. The question is whether they can improve on that performance. If that’s the best they have, then it’s likely not going to be a winning season for them. As a team who were playing in the First League last season, an average season would be fine, though.

Energetyk-BGU pulled off a sizable upset as they trounced BATE for a 3-1 victory. BATE took their eye off Energetyk and the Belarusian powerhouse suffered a rare loss. We’ll find out shortly if that was just a matter of BATE playing poorly, or Energetyk a serious contender to worry about in 2020. This is a test for them on Friday to show that last week was no fluke over BATE. Head below for our free Ruh Brest vs. Energetyk-BGU pick on March 27, 2020.

Ruh Brest vs. Energetyk-BGU Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Ruh Brest pk (-102)
  • Energetyk-BGU pk (-118)
Moneyline:

  • Ruh Brest (+173)
  • Energetyk-BGU (+156)
  • Draw (+231)
Total Points:

  • Over 2.5, 3 (-117)
  • Under 2.5, 3 (-103)

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Ruh Brest vs. Energetyk-BGU Prediction:

Energetyk-BGU fell below expectations in 2019, as they finished with a record of 8-9-13 and 33 points. It was good enough to avoid being demoted to the First League, though they were cutting it pretty close. They were miles behind Dinamo Brest, who won the finals and led the league with 75 points in 2019.

Energetyk-BGU were able to quickly wash that negative season away with a superb effort against BATE. The offence was firing on all cylinders, as they scored 3 goals in a pretty effective defensive unit. They were able to put 5 shots on target as opposed to 4 for BATE, so it wasn’t like they didn’t deserve to win. Energetyk were the more prepared team and it showed in the box score.

Dating back to their CLF match against Oshmyany, Energetyk have won their previous two matches by a combined score of 5-2. And their win over BATE wasn’t a mistake. Heading into the Premier League season, Energetyk were looking much better in club friendlies in 2020 than they did last season. In 11 matches played, Energetyk scored an average of 2.09 goals per match, while conceding 1.09 goals per match.

That’s a considerable improvement over what we saw from them last season, and most importantly, it carried over into the Premier League against BATE last week. Ruh Brest is a team that they can’t take lightly. That’s what Dinamo Minsk did and they paid for it. But again, it isn’t like Ruh Brest thoroughly dominated them. They could have very well lost that outing. If they did lose that match, we wouldn’t be getting value on Energetyk on Friday. I’d consider going with a play on Energetyk-BGU on Friday in the Belarusian Premier League.

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The Bet
ENERGETYK-BGU (PK)
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.